경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

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Segunda División Spain · Regular Season - 3

Celta de Vigo IIHOME · 4.10

1 : 22026.09.01 · 종료

CastellónAWAY · 1.80

HOME · 현재 순위 10위 승점 4 · 2경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 11위 승점 4 · 2경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME39.5%

DRAW24.0%

AWAY36.5%

MODEL CONFIDENCE LOW42 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 42/100

AI PICK HOME 32.2% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +16.6%

VALUE EDGE+16.6%

FAIR ODDS2.53

GRADED

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION PASS 46/100 · HIGH RISK

LEAGUE_LEVEL EVEN +0.0%p

STANDING_PPG EVEN +0.6%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

LINEUP EVEN +0.0%p

REST AWAY -5.0%p

MARKET AWAY -29.2%p

• RECENT_FORM DATA UNAVAILABLE• HOME_AWAY DATA UNAVAILABLE• ATTACK_DEFENCE DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE

Celta de Vigo II분석 지표Castellón

40.0% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 41.7%

1.50 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.42

1.40 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.00

50.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 42.9%

7.1일 휴식일비교용 지표 8.1일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

42/100 LOW

데이터 커버리지8.4 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력0.0 / 10

과거 표본2.5 / 10

모델 일치도9.5 / 15

예측 분리도1.3 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보5.0 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME22.9%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승15.2%표본 46경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 1경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승46.4%현재 이동 +0.0%

OPEN → NOW4.10 → 4.10배당 업데이트 2026-08-31 23:42:42

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

39.5%

DRAW

24.0%

AWAY

36.5%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Celta de Vigo II

W · 4-2D · 0-0W · 0-1D · 1-1

Castellón

D · 0-0W · 0-1L · 1-3D · 0-0L · 3-0

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN4.08

→

CURRENT4.06

-0.60%ODDS SHORTENED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.69

→

CURRENT3.76

+1.98%ODDS DRIFTED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.80

→

CURRENT1.79

-0.86%ODDS SHORTENED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-08-31 13:23:17	4.08	3.69	1.80
2026-08-31 13:33:10	4.08	3.68	1.78
2026-08-31 13:33:11	4.20	3.70	1.84
2026-08-31 13:42:18	4.09	3.68	1.79
2026-08-31 13:53:00	4.09	3.68	1.79
2026-08-31 14:02:39	4.11	3.67	1.77
2026-08-31 14:02:40	4.08	3.69	1.80
2026-08-31 14:12:41	4.08	3.68	1.78
2026-08-31 14:12:42	4.20	3.70	1.84
2026-08-31 14:23:20	4.08	3.68	1.78
2026-08-31 14:23:21	4.20	3.70	1.84
2026-08-31 14:33:07	4.08	3.68	1.78
2026-08-31 14:33:08	4.20	3.70	1.84
2026-08-31 14:42:32	4.09	3.68	1.79
2026-08-31 14:53:00	4.11	3.67	1.77
2026-08-31 14:53:01	4.08	3.69	1.80
2026-08-31 15:02:53	4.05	3.68	1.77
2026-08-31 15:02:54	4.23	3.68	1.84
2026-08-31 15:12:31	4.09	3.68	1.79
2026-08-31 15:23:19	4.13	3.67	1.78
2026-08-31 15:23:20	4.08	3.69	1.79
2026-08-31 15:32:49	4.09	3.68	1.79
2026-08-31 15:42:45	4.09	3.68	1.79
2026-08-31 15:53:10	4.03	3.65	1.77
2026-08-31 15:53:11	4.24	3.74	1.83
2026-08-31 15:53:25	4.10	3.63	1.77
2026-08-31 15:53:26	4.09	3.69	1.79
2026-08-31 16:03:00	4.08	3.66	1.76
2026-08-31 16:03:01	4.11	3.70	1.81
2026-08-31 16:03:09	4.09	3.68	1.79
2026-08-31 16:12:51	4.13	3.67	1.78
2026-08-31 16:12:52	4.08	3.69	1.79
2026-08-31 16:24:00	4.10	3.63	1.77
2026-08-31 16:24:01	4.07	3.69	1.78
2026-08-31 16:24:02	4.20	3.70	1.85
2026-08-31 16:33:43	4.10	3.63	1.77
2026-08-31 16:33:44	4.09	3.69	1.79
2026-08-31 16:42:37	4.09	3.68	1.79
2026-08-31 16:53:19	4.08	3.68	1.78
2026-08-31 16:53:20	4.20	3.70	1.84
2026-08-31 17:03:01	4.05	3.68	1.77
2026-08-31 17:03:02	4.23	3.68	1.84
2026-08-31 17:13:05	4.09	3.68	1.79
2026-08-31 17:23:28	4.08	3.66	1.76
2026-08-31 17:23:29	4.11	3.70	1.81
2026-08-31 17:32:58	4.09	3.68	1.79
2026-08-31 17:42:48	4.10	3.63	1.77
2026-08-31 17:42:49	4.09	3.69	1.79
2026-08-31 17:53:23	4.30	3.65	1.78
2026-08-31 17:53:24	4.05	3.68	1.78
2026-08-31 17:53:25	4.20	3.70	1.85
2026-08-31 18:02:59	4.05	3.68	1.77
2026-08-31 18:03:00	4.23	3.68	1.84
2026-08-31 18:23:13	4.03	3.65	1.77
2026-08-31 18:23:14	4.24	3.74	1.83
2026-08-31 18:42:49	4.13	3.67	1.78
2026-08-31 18:42:50	4.08	3.69	1.79
2026-08-31 19:03:07	4.09	3.70	1.79
2026-08-31 19:23:47	4.03	3.67	1.77
2026-08-31 19:23:48	4.16	3.74	1.82
2026-08-31 19:42:52	4.09	3.70	1.79
2026-08-31 20:03:05	4.09	3.70	1.79
2026-08-31 20:23:19	4.03	3.67	1.77
2026-08-31 20:23:20	4.13	3.73	1.81
2026-08-31 20:43:08	4.09	3.70	1.79
2026-08-31 21:03:02	4.09	3.70	1.79
2026-08-31 21:23:23	4.05	3.70	1.78
2026-08-31 21:23:24	4.22	3.70	1.84
2026-08-31 21:42:51	4.07	3.68	1.79
2026-08-31 21:42:52	4.09	3.71	1.80
2026-08-31 22:03:24	4.05	3.75	1.79
2026-08-31 22:03:25	4.20	3.85	1.81
2026-08-31 22:23:25	4.00	3.72	1.77
2026-08-31 22:23:26	4.18	3.84	1.82
2026-08-31 22:42:53	4.04	3.74	1.77
2026-08-31 22:42:54	4.07	3.77	1.80
2026-08-31 23:03:29	4.06	3.76	1.79
2026-08-31 23:23:13	4.05	3.77	1.78
2026-08-31 23:23:14	4.06	3.75	1.79
2026-08-31 23:42:42	4.06	3.76	1.79

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.01	Celta de Vigo II	1 : 2	Castellón