경기 상세 분석
종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질
Championship
England · Regular Season - 8
Bristol CityHOME · 1.74
1 : 02026.09.19 · 종료
WatfordAWAY · 4.50
HOME · 현재 순위
13위
승점 10
· 7경기
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위
17위
승점 8
· 7경기
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME47.5%
DRAW29.0%
AWAY23.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH90 / 100
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME54.2%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승62.6%표본 91경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승66.7%표본 3경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승48.8%현재 이동 -5.9%
OPEN → NOW1.85 → 1.74배당 업데이트 2026-09-18 23:42:26
확률 구성
배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
최근 경기력
현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
Bristol CityL · 0-1L · 4-1W · 1-2W · 1-3D · 2-2
WatfordL · 1-2W · 2-1L · 1-0L · 2-0L · 1-5
배당 변화 히스토리
OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOMEDRAWAWAY
HOME80 SNAPSHOTS
-6.51%ODDS SHORTENED
DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS
+7.92%ODDS DRIFTED
AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS
+13.58%ODDS DRIFTED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기
| 수집시간 | HOME | DRAW | AWAY |
|---|
| 2026-09-17 00:15:16 | 1.86 | 3.54 | 3.89 |
| 2026-09-17 12:15:16 | 1.85 | 3.57 | 3.96 |
| 2026-09-18 00:02:22 | 1.85 | 3.55 | 3.96 |
| 2026-09-18 00:22:20 | 1.85 | 3.55 | 3.96 |
| 2026-09-18 00:42:19 | 1.85 | 3.55 | 3.96 |
| 2026-09-18 01:02:18 | 1.85 | 3.55 | 3.96 |
| 2026-09-18 01:22:19 | 1.85 | 3.53 | 3.97 |
| 2026-09-18 01:42:19 | 1.85 | 3.52 | 3.96 |
| 2026-09-18 01:42:20 | 1.90 | 3.65 | 4.05 |
| 2026-09-18 02:02:19 | 1.85 | 3.53 | 3.97 |
| 2026-09-18 02:22:21 | 1.85 | 3.53 | 3.97 |
| 2026-09-18 02:42:19 | 1.85 | 3.53 | 3.97 |
| 2026-09-18 03:02:19 | 1.85 | 3.53 | 3.97 |
| 2026-09-18 03:22:19 | 1.85 | 3.53 | 3.97 |
| 2026-09-18 03:42:19 | 1.85 | 3.53 | 3.97 |
| 2026-09-18 04:02:18 | 1.84 | 3.55 | 4.04 |
| 2026-09-18 04:02:19 | 1.87 | 3.51 | 3.90 |
| 2026-09-18 04:22:18 | 1.85 | 3.53 | 3.97 |
| 2026-09-18 04:42:19 | 1.85 | 3.53 | 3.97 |
| 2026-09-18 05:02:20 | 1.85 | 3.53 | 3.97 |
| 2026-09-18 05:22:20 | 1.85 | 3.53 | 3.97 |
| 2026-09-18 05:42:19 | 1.85 | 3.53 | 3.97 |
| 2026-09-18 06:02:20 | 1.85 | 3.53 | 3.97 |
| 2026-09-18 06:22:19 | 1.85 | 3.53 | 3.97 |
| 2026-09-18 06:42:20 | 1.85 | 3.53 | 3.97 |
| 2026-09-18 07:02:18 | 1.85 | 3.53 | 3.97 |
| 2026-09-18 07:22:20 | 1.86 | 3.55 | 3.99 |
| 2026-09-18 07:42:19 | 1.86 | 3.55 | 3.99 |
| 2026-09-18 08:02:20 | 1.86 | 3.55 | 3.99 |
| 2026-09-18 08:22:19 | 1.85 | 3.52 | 3.97 |
| 2026-09-18 08:22:20 | 1.93 | 3.75 | 4.15 |
| 2026-09-18 08:42:20 | 1.86 | 3.55 | 3.99 |
| 2026-09-18 09:02:19 | 1.86 | 3.55 | 3.99 |
| 2026-09-18 09:22:19 | 1.83 | 3.40 | 3.90 |
| 2026-09-18 09:22:20 | 1.86 | 3.57 | 4.00 |
| 2026-09-18 09:42:19 | 1.86 | 3.55 | 3.99 |
| 2026-09-18 10:02:21 | 1.86 | 3.55 | 3.99 |
| 2026-09-18 10:22:19 | 1.86 | 3.56 | 4.01 |
| 2026-09-18 10:42:19 | 1.86 | 3.56 | 4.01 |
| 2026-09-18 11:02:19 | 1.86 | 3.56 | 4.01 |
| 2026-09-18 11:22:19 | 1.86 | 3.56 | 4.01 |
| 2026-09-18 11:42:18 | 1.86 | 3.56 | 4.01 |
| 2026-09-18 12:02:21 | 1.86 | 3.56 | 4.01 |
| 2026-09-18 12:22:20 | 1.84 | 3.52 | 3.96 |
| 2026-09-18 12:22:21 | 1.87 | 3.58 | 4.04 |
| 2026-09-18 12:42:19 | 1.86 | 3.56 | 4.01 |
| 2026-09-18 13:02:17 | 1.86 | 3.56 | 4.01 |
| 2026-09-18 13:22:17 | 1.86 | 3.56 | 4.01 |
| 2026-09-18 13:42:16 | 1.86 | 3.56 | 4.01 |
| 2026-09-18 14:02:19 | 1.86 | 3.56 | 4.01 |
| 2026-09-18 14:22:20 | 1.86 | 3.56 | 4.01 |
| 2026-09-18 14:42:19 | 1.86 | 3.56 | 4.01 |
| 2026-09-18 15:02:20 | 1.86 | 3.56 | 4.01 |
| 2026-09-18 15:22:20 | 1.86 | 3.56 | 4.01 |
| 2026-09-18 15:42:17 | 1.86 | 3.56 | 4.01 |
| 2026-09-18 16:02:18 | 1.86 | 3.56 | 4.01 |
| 2026-09-18 16:22:20 | 1.83 | 3.40 | 3.90 |
| 2026-09-18 16:22:21 | 1.82 | 3.69 | 4.12 |
| 2026-09-18 16:42:18 | 1.82 | 3.66 | 4.09 |
| 2026-09-18 17:02:21 | 1.82 | 3.66 | 4.09 |
| 2026-09-18 17:22:21 | 1.82 | 3.66 | 4.09 |
| 2026-09-18 17:42:17 | 1.82 | 3.66 | 4.09 |
| 2026-09-18 18:02:19 | 1.82 | 3.66 | 4.09 |
| 2026-09-18 18:22:20 | 1.82 | 3.66 | 4.09 |
| 2026-09-18 18:42:17 | 1.82 | 3.66 | 4.09 |
| 2026-09-18 19:02:20 | 1.82 | 3.66 | 4.09 |
| 2026-09-18 19:22:22 | 1.75 | 3.78 | 4.42 |
| 2026-09-18 19:42:19 | 1.75 | 3.78 | 4.42 |
| 2026-09-18 20:02:21 | 1.75 | 3.78 | 4.42 |
| 2026-09-18 20:22:20 | 1.75 | 3.78 | 4.42 |
| 2026-09-18 20:42:29 | 1.75 | 3.78 | 4.42 |
| 2026-09-18 21:02:19 | 1.75 | 3.78 | 4.42 |
| 2026-09-18 21:22:20 | 1.75 | 3.78 | 4.42 |
| 2026-09-18 21:42:19 | 1.75 | 3.78 | 4.42 |
| 2026-09-18 22:02:22 | 1.75 | 3.78 | 4.42 |
| 2026-09-18 22:22:21 | 1.74 | 3.82 | 4.42 |
| 2026-09-18 22:42:30 | 1.74 | 3.82 | 4.42 |
| 2026-09-18 23:02:24 | 1.74 | 3.82 | 4.42 |
| 2026-09-18 23:22:20 | 1.74 | 3.82 | 4.42 |
| 2026-09-18 23:42:26 | 1.74 | 3.82 | 4.42 |
상대전적 H2H
| 날짜 | 홈 | 결과 | 원정 |
|---|
| 2026.09.19 | Bristol City | 1 : 0 | Watford |
| 2026.02.28 | Bristol City | 1 : 2 | Watford |
| 2025.11.08 | Watford | 1 : 1 | Bristol City |