LIVE 204 오늘 1,650경기

경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기
Championship England · Regular Season - 7
WatfordHOME · 2.30
1 : 22026.09.12 · 종료
Stoke CityAWAY · 3.00
HOME · 현재 순위 12위 승점 8 · 6경기
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위 15위 승점 7 · 6경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME62.5%
DRAW24.2%
AWAY13.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH83 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100
AI PICK HOME 46.2% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +21.9%
VALUE EDGE+21.9%
FAIR ODDS1.60
GRADES
FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION STRONG 100/100 · LOW RISK
RECENT_FORM HOME +43.5%p
HOME_AWAY HOME +41.7%p
LEAGUE_LEVEL EVEN +0.0%p
STANDING_PPG HOME +3.3%p
ATTACK_DEFENCE HOME +7.4%p
INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p
Watford분석 지표Stoke City
33.3% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 50.0%
1.00 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.50
1.58 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.17
57.1% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 25.0%
3.8일 휴식일비교용 지표 3.8일
API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

83/100 HIGH
데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20
시장/배당15.0 / 15
최근 전력10.0 / 10
과거 표본10.0 / 10
모델 일치도8.0 / 15
예측 분리도15.0 / 15
데이터 신선도10.0 / 10
종목 핵심정보5.0 / 5
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME40.7%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승35.8%표본 148경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 2경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승47.3%현재 이동 -2.1%
OPEN → NOW2.35 → 2.30배당 업데이트 2026-09-12 23:43:42

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
HOME
62.5%
DRAW
24.2%
AWAY
13.2%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
Watford
W · 2-1L · 1-0L · 2-0L · 1-5D · 1-1
Stoke City
D · 1-1W · 4-0W · 1-0L · 4-1D · 1-1

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOMEDRAWAWAY
+4.0%+2.0%0.0%-2.0%-4.0%09/11 12:1509/12 04:2209/12 13:0309/12 19:0509/12 23:43HOME · 배당 2.34 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-11 12:15:09HOME · 배당 2.34 · 변동 -0.14% · 2026-09-12 00:22:17HOME · 배당 2.34 · 변동 -0.14% · 2026-09-12 00:52:15HOME · 배당 2.34 · 변동 -0.14% · 2026-09-12 01:22:12HOME · 배당 2.34 · 변동 -0.14% · 2026-09-12 01:52:16HOME · 배당 2.34 · 변동 -0.14% · 2026-09-12 02:22:15HOME · 배당 2.34 · 변동 -0.14% · 2026-09-12 02:22:16HOME · 배당 2.34 · 변동 -0.14% · 2026-09-12 03:02:14HOME · 배당 2.34 · 변동 -0.14% · 2026-09-12 03:02:15HOME · 배당 2.34 · 변동 -0.14% · 2026-09-12 03:42:14HOME · 배당 2.34 · 변동 -0.14% · 2026-09-12 03:42:15HOME · 배당 2.34 · 변동 -0.14% · 2026-09-12 04:22:16HOME · 배당 2.34 · 변동 -0.14% · 2026-09-12 04:22:17HOME · 배당 2.34 · 변동 -0.14% · 2026-09-12 05:02:15HOME · 배당 2.34 · 변동 -0.14% · 2026-09-12 05:42:14HOME · 배당 2.34 · 변동 -0.14% · 2026-09-12 06:22:17HOME · 배당 2.34 · 변동 -0.14% · 2026-09-12 07:02:13HOME · 배당 2.34 · 변동 -0.14% · 2026-09-12 07:42:16HOME · 배당 2.34 · 변동 -0.14% · 2026-09-12 08:22:17HOME · 배당 2.33 · 변동 -0.62% · 2026-09-12 09:02:18HOME · 배당 2.33 · 변동 -0.62% · 2026-09-12 09:42:17HOME · 배당 2.33 · 변동 -0.62% · 2026-09-12 10:22:38HOME · 배당 2.33 · 변동 -0.62% · 2026-09-12 11:03:00HOME · 배당 2.33 · 변동 -0.62% · 2026-09-12 11:42:41HOME · 배당 2.33 · 변동 -0.62% · 2026-09-12 13:03:22HOME · 배당 2.33 · 변동 -0.62% · 2026-09-12 13:43:03HOME · 배당 2.30 · 변동 -1.71% · 2026-09-12 14:23:08HOME · 배당 2.33 · 변동 -0.48% · 2026-09-12 14:23:09HOME · 배당 2.33 · 변동 -0.62% · 2026-09-12 15:02:47HOME · 배당 2.30 · 변동 -1.54% · 2026-09-12 15:42:58HOME · 배당 2.35 · 변동 +0.53% · 2026-09-12 15:42:59HOME · 배당 2.32 · 변동 -1.04% · 2026-09-12 16:24:08HOME · 배당 2.32 · 변동 -1.04% · 2026-09-12 17:04:10HOME · 배당 2.32 · 변동 -1.04% · 2026-09-12 17:43:46HOME · 배당 2.32 · 변동 -1.04% · 2026-09-12 18:24:09HOME · 배당 2.31 · 변동 -1.42% · 2026-09-12 19:05:08HOME · 배당 2.33 · 변동 -0.28% · 2026-09-12 19:05:09HOME · 배당 2.31 · 변동 -1.34% · 2026-09-12 19:44:22HOME · 배당 2.37 · 변동 +1.28% · 2026-09-12 19:44:23HOME · 배당 2.30 · 변동 -1.71% · 2026-09-12 20:24:00HOME · 배당 2.32 · 변동 -0.85% · 2026-09-12 20:24:01HOME · 배당 2.32 · 변동 -1.04% · 2026-09-12 21:03:17HOME · 배당 2.32 · 변동 -1.04% · 2026-09-12 21:43:40HOME · 배당 2.30 · 변동 -1.79% · 2026-09-12 22:24:23HOME · 배당 2.33 · 변동 -0.53% · 2026-09-12 22:24:24HOME · 배당 2.31 · 변동 -1.28% · 2026-09-12 23:03:27HOME · 배당 2.31 · 변동 -1.14% · 2026-09-12 23:03:28HOME · 배당 2.31 · 변동 -1.23% · 2026-09-12 23:43:42DRAW · 배당 3.32 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-11 12:15:09DRAW · 배당 3.32 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-12 00:22:17DRAW · 배당 3.32 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-12 00:52:15DRAW · 배당 3.32 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-12 01:22:12DRAW · 배당 3.32 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-12 01:52:16DRAW · 배당 3.32 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-12 02:22:15DRAW · 배당 3.32 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-12 02:22:16DRAW · 배당 3.32 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-12 03:02:14DRAW · 배당 3.32 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-12 03:02:15DRAW · 배당 3.32 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-12 03:42:14DRAW · 배당 3.32 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-12 03:42:15DRAW · 배당 3.32 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-12 04:22:16DRAW · 배당 3.32 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-12 04:22:17DRAW · 배당 3.32 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-12 05:02:15DRAW · 배당 3.32 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-12 05:42:14DRAW · 배당 3.32 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-12 06:22:17DRAW · 배당 3.32 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-12 07:02:13DRAW · 배당 3.32 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-12 07:42:16DRAW · 배당 3.32 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-12 08:22:17DRAW · 배당 3.32 · 변동 +0.05% · 2026-09-12 09:02:18DRAW · 배당 3.32 · 변동 +0.05% · 2026-09-12 09:42:17DRAW · 배당 3.32 · 변동 +0.05% · 2026-09-12 10:22:38DRAW · 배당 3.32 · 변동 +0.05% · 2026-09-12 11:03:00DRAW · 배당 3.32 · 변동 +0.05% · 2026-09-12 11:42:41DRAW · 배당 3.32 · 변동 +0.05% · 2026-09-12 13:03:22DRAW · 배당 3.32 · 변동 +0.05% · 2026-09-12 13:43:03DRAW · 배당 3.25 · 변동 -2.16% · 2026-09-12 14:23:08DRAW · 배당 3.33 · 변동 +0.33% · 2026-09-12 14:23:09DRAW · 배당 3.32 · 변동 +0.05% · 2026-09-12 15:02:47DRAW · 배당 3.35 · 변동 +0.85% · 2026-09-12 15:42:58DRAW · 배당 3.29 · 변동 -0.95% · 2026-09-12 15:42:59DRAW · 배당 3.35 · 변동 +0.85% · 2026-09-12 16:24:08DRAW · 배당 3.35 · 변동 +0.85% · 2026-09-12 17:04:10DRAW · 배당 3.35 · 변동 +0.85% · 2026-09-12 17:43:46DRAW · 배당 3.35 · 변동 +0.85% · 2026-09-12 18:24:09DRAW · 배당 3.38 · 변동 +1.76% · 2026-09-12 19:05:08DRAW · 배당 3.29 · 변동 -0.95% · 2026-09-12 19:05:09DRAW · 배당 3.34 · 변동 +0.66% · 2026-09-12 19:44:22DRAW · 배당 3.40 · 변동 +2.36% · 2026-09-12 19:44:23DRAW · 배당 3.28 · 변동 -1.40% · 2026-09-12 20:24:00DRAW · 배당 3.37 · 변동 +1.50% · 2026-09-12 20:24:01DRAW · 배당 3.35 · 변동 +0.85% · 2026-09-12 21:03:17DRAW · 배당 3.35 · 변동 +0.85% · 2026-09-12 21:43:40DRAW · 배당 3.35 · 변동 +0.97% · 2026-09-12 22:24:23DRAW · 배당 3.32 · 변동 +0.03% · 2026-09-12 22:24:24DRAW · 배당 3.38 · 변동 +1.61% · 2026-09-12 23:03:27DRAW · 배당 3.27 · 변동 -1.56% · 2026-09-12 23:03:28DRAW · 배당 3.34 · 변동 +0.55% · 2026-09-12 23:43:42AWAY · 배당 2.96 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-11 12:15:09AWAY · 배당 2.96 · 변동 +0.11% · 2026-09-12 00:22:17AWAY · 배당 2.96 · 변동 +0.11% · 2026-09-12 00:52:15AWAY · 배당 2.96 · 변동 +0.11% · 2026-09-12 01:22:12AWAY · 배당 2.96 · 변동 +0.11% · 2026-09-12 01:52:16AWAY · 배당 2.96 · 변동 +0.11% · 2026-09-12 02:22:15AWAY · 배당 2.96 · 변동 +0.11% · 2026-09-12 02:22:16AWAY · 배당 2.96 · 변동 +0.11% · 2026-09-12 03:02:14AWAY · 배당 2.96 · 변동 +0.11% · 2026-09-12 03:02:15AWAY · 배당 2.96 · 변동 +0.11% · 2026-09-12 03:42:14AWAY · 배당 2.96 · 변동 +0.11% · 2026-09-12 03:42:15AWAY · 배당 2.96 · 변동 +0.11% · 2026-09-12 04:22:16AWAY · 배당 2.96 · 변동 +0.11% · 2026-09-12 04:22:17AWAY · 배당 2.96 · 변동 +0.11% · 2026-09-12 05:02:15AWAY · 배당 2.96 · 변동 +0.11% · 2026-09-12 05:42:14AWAY · 배당 2.96 · 변동 +0.11% · 2026-09-12 06:22:17AWAY · 배당 2.96 · 변동 +0.11% · 2026-09-12 07:02:13AWAY · 배당 2.96 · 변동 +0.11% · 2026-09-12 07:42:16AWAY · 배당 2.96 · 변동 +0.11% · 2026-09-12 08:22:17AWAY · 배당 2.95 · 변동 -0.23% · 2026-09-12 09:02:18AWAY · 배당 2.95 · 변동 -0.23% · 2026-09-12 09:42:17AWAY · 배당 2.95 · 변동 -0.23% · 2026-09-12 10:22:38AWAY · 배당 2.95 · 변동 -0.23% · 2026-09-12 11:03:00AWAY · 배당 2.95 · 변동 -0.23% · 2026-09-12 11:42:41AWAY · 배당 2.95 · 변동 -0.23% · 2026-09-12 13:03:22AWAY · 배당 2.95 · 변동 -0.23% · 2026-09-12 13:43:03AWAY · 배당 2.90 · 변동 -2.03% · 2026-09-12 14:23:08AWAY · 배당 2.96 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-12 14:23:09AWAY · 배당 2.95 · 변동 -0.23% · 2026-09-12 15:02:47AWAY · 배당 2.97 · 변동 +0.41% · 2026-09-12 15:42:58AWAY · 배당 2.93 · 변동 -1.01% · 2026-09-12 15:42:59AWAY · 배당 2.97 · 변동 +0.41% · 2026-09-12 16:24:08AWAY · 배당 2.97 · 변동 +0.41% · 2026-09-12 17:04:10AWAY · 배당 2.97 · 변동 +0.41% · 2026-09-12 17:43:46AWAY · 배당 2.97 · 변동 +0.41% · 2026-09-12 18:24:09AWAY · 배당 3.00 · 변동 +1.30% · 2026-09-12 19:05:08AWAY · 배당 2.92 · 변동 -1.35% · 2026-09-12 19:05:09AWAY · 배당 2.97 · 변동 +0.30% · 2026-09-12 19:44:22AWAY · 배당 3.00 · 변동 +1.35% · 2026-09-12 19:44:23AWAY · 배당 3.00 · 변동 +1.35% · 2026-09-12 20:24:00AWAY · 배당 2.96 · 변동 +0.14% · 2026-09-12 20:24:01AWAY · 배당 2.97 · 변동 +0.41% · 2026-09-12 21:03:17AWAY · 배당 2.97 · 변동 +0.41% · 2026-09-12 21:43:40AWAY · 배당 2.98 · 변동 +0.61% · 2026-09-12 22:24:23AWAY · 배당 3.01 · 변동 +1.60% · 2026-09-12 22:24:24AWAY · 배당 3.00 · 변동 +1.24% · 2026-09-12 23:03:27AWAY · 배당 2.98 · 변동 +0.68% · 2026-09-12 23:03:28AWAY · 배당 2.99 · 변동 +1.05% · 2026-09-12 23:43:42
HOME48 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN2.34
→
CURRENT2.31
-1.23%ODDS SHORTENED
DRAW48 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN3.32
→
CURRENT3.34
+0.55%ODDS DRIFTED
AWAY48 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN2.96
→
CURRENT2.99
+1.05%ODDS DRIFTED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기
수집시간HOMEDRAWAWAY
2026-09-11 12:15:092.343.322.96
2026-09-12 00:22:172.343.322.96
2026-09-12 00:52:152.343.322.96
2026-09-12 01:22:122.343.322.96
2026-09-12 01:52:162.343.322.96
2026-09-12 02:22:152.343.322.96
2026-09-12 02:22:162.343.322.96
2026-09-12 03:02:142.343.322.96
2026-09-12 03:02:152.343.322.96
2026-09-12 03:42:142.343.322.96
2026-09-12 03:42:152.343.322.96
2026-09-12 04:22:162.343.322.96
2026-09-12 04:22:172.343.322.96
2026-09-12 05:02:152.343.322.96
2026-09-12 05:42:142.343.322.96
2026-09-12 06:22:172.343.322.96
2026-09-12 07:02:132.343.322.96
2026-09-12 07:42:162.343.322.96
2026-09-12 08:22:172.343.322.96
2026-09-12 09:02:182.333.322.95
2026-09-12 09:42:172.333.322.95
2026-09-12 10:22:382.333.322.95
2026-09-12 11:03:002.333.322.95
2026-09-12 11:42:412.333.322.95
2026-09-12 13:03:222.333.322.95
2026-09-12 13:43:032.333.322.95
2026-09-12 14:23:082.303.252.90
2026-09-12 14:23:092.333.332.96
2026-09-12 15:02:472.333.322.95
2026-09-12 15:42:582.303.352.97
2026-09-12 15:42:592.353.292.93
2026-09-12 16:24:082.323.352.97
2026-09-12 17:04:102.323.352.97
2026-09-12 17:43:462.323.352.97
2026-09-12 18:24:092.323.352.97
2026-09-12 19:05:082.313.383.00
2026-09-12 19:05:092.333.292.92
2026-09-12 19:44:222.313.342.97
2026-09-12 19:44:232.373.403.00
2026-09-12 20:24:002.303.283.00
2026-09-12 20:24:012.323.372.96
2026-09-12 21:03:172.323.352.97
2026-09-12 21:43:402.323.352.97
2026-09-12 22:24:232.303.352.98
2026-09-12 22:24:242.333.323.01
2026-09-12 23:03:272.313.383.00
2026-09-12 23:03:282.313.272.98
2026-09-12 23:43:422.313.342.99

상대전적 H2H

날짜홈결과원정
2026.09.12Watford1 : 2Stoke City
2026.03.15Stoke City3 : 1Watford
2025.12.21Watford1 : 0Stoke City