경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

Championship England · Regular Season - 6

Bristol CityHOME · 1.85

0 : 12026.09.16 · 종료

LincolnAWAY · 4.20

HOME · 현재 순위 4위 승점 10 · 5경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 18위 승점 5 · 5경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME37.1%

DRAW28.3%

AWAY34.6%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH88 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100

AI PICK HOME 32.4% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +12.2%

VALUE EDGE+12.2%

FAIR ODDS2.89

GRADES

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION WATCH 62/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM AWAY -16.6%p

HOME_AWAY AWAY -15.2%p

LEAGUE_LEVEL EVEN +0.0%p

STANDING_PPG HOME +15.7%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE AWAY -3.7%p

INJURIES EVEN +1.8%p

• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE

Bristol City분석 지표Lincoln

41.7% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 33.3%

1.50 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.08

1.33 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.83

50.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 50.0%

3.2일 휴식일비교용 지표 3.2일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

88/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본7.0 / 10

모델 일치도12.5 / 15

예측 분리도1.1 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보5.0 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME50.8%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승54.5%표본 77경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승50.0%표본 2경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승49.1%현재 이동 -5.1%

OPEN → NOW1.95 → 1.85배당 업데이트 2026-09-15 23:52:07

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

37.1%

DRAW

28.3%

AWAY

34.6%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Bristol City

L · 4-1W · 1-2W · 1-3D · 2-2L · 0-2

Lincoln

W · 0-1L · 4-0D · 1-1D · 0-0W · 1-4

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.96

→

CURRENT1.86

-5.43%ODDS SHORTENED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.52

→

CURRENT3.48

-1.14%ODDS SHORTENED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.61

→

CURRENT4.15

+15.03%ODDS DRIFTED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-15 11:32:09	1.96	3.52	3.61
2026-09-15 11:42:08	1.96	3.52	3.61
2026-09-15 11:52:08	1.96	3.52	3.61
2026-09-15 12:02:08	1.96	3.52	3.61
2026-09-15 12:12:08	1.96	3.52	3.61
2026-09-15 12:22:09	1.96	3.52	3.61
2026-09-15 12:32:08	1.96	3.52	3.61
2026-09-15 12:42:07	1.96	3.52	3.61
2026-09-15 12:52:08	1.96	3.52	3.61
2026-09-15 13:02:08	1.96	3.52	3.61
2026-09-15 13:12:08	1.96	3.52	3.61
2026-09-15 13:22:08	1.96	3.52	3.61
2026-09-15 13:32:08	1.96	3.52	3.61
2026-09-15 13:42:08	1.96	3.52	3.61
2026-09-15 13:52:08	1.96	3.52	3.61
2026-09-15 14:02:07	1.96	3.52	3.61
2026-09-15 14:12:07	1.96	3.52	3.61
2026-09-15 14:22:09	1.96	3.52	3.61
2026-09-15 14:32:09	1.96	3.52	3.61
2026-09-15 14:42:08	1.96	3.52	3.61
2026-09-15 14:52:09	1.96	3.52	3.61
2026-09-15 15:02:07	1.96	3.51	3.60
2026-09-15 15:02:08	2.00	3.60	3.70
2026-09-15 15:12:08	1.96	3.52	3.61
2026-09-15 15:22:09	1.96	3.52	3.61
2026-09-15 15:32:08	1.92	3.47	3.84
2026-09-15 15:42:08	1.92	3.47	3.84
2026-09-15 15:52:09	1.92	3.47	3.84
2026-09-15 16:02:07	1.92	3.47	3.84
2026-09-15 16:12:07	1.92	3.47	3.84
2026-09-15 16:22:09	1.92	3.47	3.84
2026-09-15 16:32:08	1.92	3.47	3.84
2026-09-15 16:42:08	1.92	3.47	3.84
2026-09-15 16:52:08	1.91	3.47	3.83
2026-09-15 16:52:09	1.93	3.47	3.85
2026-09-15 17:02:08	1.92	3.47	3.84
2026-09-15 17:12:08	1.92	3.47	3.84
2026-09-15 17:22:08	1.92	3.47	3.84
2026-09-15 17:32:09	1.92	3.47	3.84
2026-09-15 17:42:09	1.92	3.47	3.84
2026-09-15 17:52:08	1.92	3.47	3.84
2026-09-15 18:02:09	1.92	3.47	3.84
2026-09-15 18:12:08	1.92	3.47	3.84
2026-09-15 18:22:10	1.92	3.47	3.84
2026-09-15 18:32:08	1.86	3.47	4.15
2026-09-15 18:42:08	1.86	3.47	4.15
2026-09-15 18:52:08	1.86	3.47	4.15
2026-09-15 19:02:08	1.86	3.47	4.15
2026-09-15 19:12:07	1.86	3.47	4.15
2026-09-15 19:22:08	1.86	3.47	4.15
2026-09-15 19:32:08	1.86	3.47	4.15
2026-09-15 19:42:08	1.86	3.47	4.15
2026-09-15 19:52:09	1.86	3.47	4.15
2026-09-15 20:02:08	1.86	3.47	4.15
2026-09-15 20:12:07	1.86	3.47	4.15
2026-09-15 20:22:08	1.86	3.47	4.15
2026-09-15 20:32:08	1.86	3.47	4.15
2026-09-15 20:42:08	1.86	3.47	4.15
2026-09-15 20:52:08	1.86	3.47	4.15
2026-09-15 21:02:08	1.86	3.47	4.15
2026-09-15 21:12:07	1.86	3.47	4.15
2026-09-15 21:22:08	1.86	3.47	4.14
2026-09-15 21:22:09	1.88	3.50	4.30
2026-09-15 21:32:08	1.86	3.48	4.15
2026-09-15 21:42:08	1.86	3.48	4.15
2026-09-15 21:52:09	1.86	3.48	4.15
2026-09-15 22:02:09	1.86	3.48	4.15
2026-09-15 22:12:08	1.86	3.48	4.15
2026-09-15 22:22:09	1.86	3.47	4.14
2026-09-15 22:22:10	1.88	3.55	4.20
2026-09-15 22:32:08	1.86	3.48	4.15
2026-09-15 22:42:08	1.86	3.48	4.15
2026-09-15 22:52:08	1.86	3.48	4.15
2026-09-15 23:02:07	1.84	3.46	4.17
2026-09-15 23:02:08	1.87	3.49	4.13
2026-09-15 23:12:12	1.86	3.48	4.15
2026-09-15 23:22:08	1.86	3.48	4.15
2026-09-15 23:32:07	1.86	3.48	4.15
2026-09-15 23:42:09	1.86	3.48	4.15
2026-09-15 23:52:07	1.86	3.48	4.15

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.16	Bristol City	0 : 1	Lincoln