경기 상세 분석
종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질
Championship
England · Regular Season - 6

CardiffHOME · 2.04
1 : 12026.09.09 · 종료
Stoke CityAWAY · 3.30

HOME · 현재 순위
22위
승점 3
· 5경기
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위
13위
승점 6
· 5경기
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME67.7%
DRAW18.0%
AWAY14.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH84 / 100
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME46.1%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승48.5%표본 227경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 1경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승47.1%현재 이동 -1.9%
OPEN → NOW2.08 → 2.04배당 업데이트 2026-09-08 23:52:07
확률 구성
배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
최근 경기력
현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
CardiffL · 2-0L · 2-1L · 1-2D · 2-2D · 1-1
Stoke CityW · 4-0W · 1-0L · 4-1D · 1-1L · 3-1
배당 변화 히스토리
OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOMEDRAWAWAY
HOME80 SNAPSHOTS
-4.30%ODDS SHORTENED
DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS
+0.99%ODDS DRIFTED
AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS
+6.37%ODDS DRIFTED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기
| 수집시간 | HOME | DRAW | AWAY |
|---|
| 2026-09-08 11:52:06 | 2.13 | 3.62 | 3.11 |
| 2026-09-08 12:02:07 | 2.13 | 3.62 | 3.11 |
| 2026-09-08 12:12:06 | 2.13 | 3.62 | 3.11 |
| 2026-09-08 12:22:07 | 2.13 | 3.62 | 3.11 |
| 2026-09-08 12:32:06 | 2.13 | 3.62 | 3.11 |
| 2026-09-08 12:42:06 | 2.13 | 3.62 | 3.11 |
| 2026-09-08 12:52:06 | 2.13 | 3.62 | 3.11 |
| 2026-09-08 13:02:08 | 2.13 | 3.62 | 3.11 |
| 2026-09-08 13:12:07 | 2.13 | 3.62 | 3.11 |
| 2026-09-08 13:22:07 | 2.13 | 3.62 | 3.11 |
| 2026-09-08 13:32:07 | 2.13 | 3.62 | 3.11 |
| 2026-09-08 13:42:06 | 2.13 | 3.62 | 3.11 |
| 2026-09-08 13:52:07 | 2.13 | 3.62 | 3.11 |
| 2026-09-08 14:02:06 | 2.13 | 3.62 | 3.11 |
| 2026-09-08 14:12:06 | 2.13 | 3.62 | 3.11 |
| 2026-09-08 14:22:07 | 2.13 | 3.62 | 3.11 |
| 2026-09-08 14:32:08 | 2.13 | 3.62 | 3.11 |
| 2026-09-08 14:42:07 | 2.13 | 3.62 | 3.11 |
| 2026-09-08 14:52:06 | 2.16 | 3.70 | 2.96 |
| 2026-09-08 14:52:07 | 2.13 | 3.61 | 3.13 |
| 2026-09-08 15:02:07 | 2.13 | 3.62 | 3.11 |
| 2026-09-08 15:12:06 | 2.13 | 3.62 | 3.11 |
| 2026-09-08 15:12:07 | 2.21 | 3.65 | 3.20 |
| 2026-09-08 15:22:07 | 2.11 | 3.61 | 3.10 |
| 2026-09-08 15:22:08 | 2.14 | 3.62 | 3.13 |
| 2026-09-08 15:32:07 | 2.13 | 3.62 | 3.11 |
| 2026-09-08 15:42:06 | 2.13 | 3.62 | 3.11 |
| 2026-09-08 15:52:07 | 2.13 | 3.62 | 3.11 |
| 2026-09-08 16:02:06 | 2.13 | 3.62 | 3.11 |
| 2026-09-08 16:12:05 | 2.13 | 3.62 | 3.11 |
| 2026-09-08 16:22:07 | 2.13 | 3.62 | 3.11 |
| 2026-09-08 16:32:07 | 2.11 | 3.63 | 3.18 |
| 2026-09-08 16:42:07 | 2.11 | 3.63 | 3.18 |
| 2026-09-08 16:52:07 | 2.10 | 3.62 | 3.19 |
| 2026-09-08 16:52:08 | 2.12 | 3.64 | 3.16 |
| 2026-09-08 17:02:06 | 2.11 | 3.63 | 3.18 |
| 2026-09-08 17:12:07 | 2.11 | 3.63 | 3.18 |
| 2026-09-08 17:22:08 | 2.10 | 3.62 | 3.19 |
| 2026-09-08 17:22:09 | 2.12 | 3.64 | 3.16 |
| 2026-09-08 17:32:08 | 2.11 | 3.63 | 3.18 |
| 2026-09-08 17:42:06 | 2.11 | 3.63 | 3.18 |
| 2026-09-08 17:52:08 | 2.11 | 3.63 | 3.18 |
| 2026-09-08 18:02:06 | 2.11 | 3.63 | 3.18 |
| 2026-09-08 18:12:07 | 2.11 | 3.63 | 3.18 |
| 2026-09-08 18:22:08 | 2.11 | 3.63 | 3.18 |
| 2026-09-08 18:32:08 | 2.11 | 3.63 | 3.18 |
| 2026-09-08 18:42:07 | 2.11 | 3.63 | 3.18 |
| 2026-09-08 18:52:07 | 2.13 | 3.55 | 3.03 |
| 2026-09-08 18:52:08 | 2.11 | 3.64 | 3.20 |
| 2026-09-08 19:02:07 | 2.11 | 3.63 | 3.18 |
| 2026-09-08 19:12:07 | 2.11 | 3.63 | 3.18 |
| 2026-09-08 19:22:08 | 2.11 | 3.63 | 3.18 |
| 2026-09-08 19:32:08 | 2.05 | 3.66 | 3.31 |
| 2026-09-08 19:42:06 | 2.05 | 3.66 | 3.31 |
| 2026-09-08 19:52:08 | 2.05 | 3.66 | 3.31 |
| 2026-09-08 20:02:07 | 2.05 | 3.66 | 3.31 |
| 2026-09-08 20:12:06 | 2.05 | 3.66 | 3.31 |
| 2026-09-08 20:22:09 | 2.05 | 3.66 | 3.31 |
| 2026-09-08 20:32:08 | 2.05 | 3.66 | 3.31 |
| 2026-09-08 20:42:06 | 2.05 | 3.66 | 3.31 |
| 2026-09-08 20:52:08 | 2.05 | 3.66 | 3.31 |
| 2026-09-08 21:02:07 | 2.05 | 3.66 | 3.31 |
| 2026-09-08 21:12:06 | 2.05 | 3.66 | 3.31 |
| 2026-09-08 21:22:07 | 2.05 | 3.66 | 3.31 |
| 2026-09-08 21:32:07 | 2.05 | 3.66 | 3.31 |
| 2026-09-08 21:42:07 | 2.05 | 3.66 | 3.31 |
| 2026-09-08 21:52:08 | 2.05 | 3.66 | 3.31 |
| 2026-09-08 22:02:07 | 2.03 | 3.60 | 3.32 |
| 2026-09-08 22:02:08 | 2.06 | 3.68 | 3.31 |
| 2026-09-08 22:12:06 | 2.05 | 3.66 | 3.31 |
| 2026-09-08 22:22:09 | 2.05 | 3.66 | 3.31 |
| 2026-09-08 22:32:07 | 2.04 | 3.66 | 3.31 |
| 2026-09-08 22:42:07 | 2.04 | 3.66 | 3.31 |
| 2026-09-08 22:52:08 | 2.04 | 3.66 | 3.31 |
| 2026-09-08 23:02:08 | 2.04 | 3.66 | 3.31 |
| 2026-09-08 23:12:07 | 2.04 | 3.66 | 3.31 |
| 2026-09-08 23:22:08 | 2.04 | 3.66 | 3.31 |
| 2026-09-08 23:32:08 | 2.04 | 3.66 | 3.31 |
| 2026-09-08 23:42:07 | 2.04 | 3.66 | 3.31 |
| 2026-09-08 23:52:07 | 2.04 | 3.66 | 3.31 |
상대전적 H2H
| 날짜 | 홈 | 결과 | 원정 |
|---|
| 2026.09.09 | Cardiff | 1 : 1 | Stoke City |