경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

Championship England · Regular Season - 6

SouthamptonHOME · 1.84

3 : 12026.09.09 · 종료

SwanseaAWAY · 4.00

HOME · 현재 순위 19위 승점 4 · 5경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 1위 승점 11 · 5경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME56.1%

DRAW21.5%

AWAY22.4%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH88 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100

AI PICK HOME 44.8% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +4.8%

VALUE EDGE+4.8%

FAIR ODDS1.78

GRADEB

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION STRONG 88/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM AWAY -3.9%p

HOME_AWAY HOME +11.1%p

LEAGUE_LEVEL EVEN +0.0%p

STANDING_PPG AWAY -19.6%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE HOME +6.0%p

INJURIES HOME +3.6%p

Southampton분석 지표Swansea

58.3% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 66.7%

1.83 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.42

1.25 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 0.67

75.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 75.0%

3.3일 휴식일비교용 지표 3.0일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

88/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본10.0 / 10

모델 일치도12.4 / 15

예측 분리도14.4 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보5.0 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME51.3%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승56.5%표본 147경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승100.0%표본 2경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승46.9%현재 이동 -0.3%

OPEN → NOW1.84 → 1.84배당 업데이트 2026-09-08 23:52:07

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

56.1%

DRAW

21.5%

AWAY

22.4%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Southampton

D · 1-1D · 1-1L · 1-4W · 3-1L · 2-1

Swansea

D · 0-0W · 2-0W · 0-3D · 0-0W · 1-2

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.87

→

CURRENT1.84

-2.00%ODDS SHORTENED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.64

→

CURRENT3.69

+1.39%ODDS DRIFTED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.87

→

CURRENT4.00

+3.33%ODDS DRIFTED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-08 11:52:06	1.87	3.64	3.87
2026-09-08 12:02:07	1.87	3.64	3.87
2026-09-08 12:12:06	1.87	3.64	3.87
2026-09-08 12:22:07	1.87	3.64	3.87
2026-09-08 12:32:06	1.87	3.63	3.86
2026-09-08 12:32:07	1.92	3.73	3.90
2026-09-08 12:42:06	1.87	3.64	3.87
2026-09-08 12:52:06	1.87	3.63	3.86
2026-09-08 12:52:07	1.92	3.73	3.90
2026-09-08 13:02:08	1.87	3.64	3.87
2026-09-08 13:12:07	1.87	3.64	3.87
2026-09-08 13:22:07	1.87	3.64	3.87
2026-09-08 13:32:07	1.87	3.64	3.87
2026-09-08 13:42:06	1.87	3.64	3.87
2026-09-08 13:52:07	1.87	3.64	3.87
2026-09-08 14:02:06	1.87	3.64	3.87
2026-09-08 14:12:06	1.87	3.64	3.87
2026-09-08 14:22:07	1.87	3.64	3.87
2026-09-08 14:32:08	1.87	3.64	3.87
2026-09-08 14:42:07	1.87	3.64	3.87
2026-09-08 14:52:07	1.87	3.64	3.87
2026-09-08 15:02:07	1.87	3.64	3.87
2026-09-08 15:12:07	1.87	3.64	3.87
2026-09-08 15:22:08	1.87	3.64	3.87
2026-09-08 15:32:07	1.87	3.64	3.87
2026-09-08 15:42:06	1.87	3.64	3.87
2026-09-08 15:52:07	1.87	3.64	3.87
2026-09-08 16:02:06	1.87	3.64	3.87
2026-09-08 16:12:05	1.86	3.66	3.93
2026-09-08 16:12:06	1.89	3.61	3.77
2026-09-08 16:22:07	1.87	3.64	3.87
2026-09-08 16:32:07	1.90	3.62	3.81
2026-09-08 16:42:07	1.90	3.62	3.81
2026-09-08 16:52:08	1.90	3.62	3.81
2026-09-08 17:02:06	1.90	3.60	3.75
2026-09-08 17:02:07	1.90	3.62	3.82
2026-09-08 17:12:07	1.90	3.62	3.81
2026-09-08 17:22:09	1.90	3.62	3.81
2026-09-08 17:32:08	1.90	3.62	3.81
2026-09-08 17:42:06	1.91	3.50	3.75
2026-09-08 17:42:07	1.90	3.64	3.83
2026-09-08 17:52:08	1.90	3.62	3.81
2026-09-08 18:02:06	1.90	3.62	3.81
2026-09-08 18:12:07	1.90	3.62	3.81
2026-09-08 18:22:08	1.90	3.62	3.81
2026-09-08 18:32:08	1.90	3.62	3.81
2026-09-08 18:42:07	1.90	3.62	3.81
2026-09-08 18:52:08	1.90	3.62	3.81
2026-09-08 19:02:07	1.90	3.62	3.81
2026-09-08 19:12:07	1.90	3.62	3.81
2026-09-08 19:22:08	1.90	3.62	3.81
2026-09-08 19:32:08	1.85	3.68	4.00
2026-09-08 19:42:06	1.85	3.68	4.00
2026-09-08 19:52:08	1.85	3.68	4.00
2026-09-08 20:02:07	1.85	3.68	4.00
2026-09-08 20:12:06	1.84	3.64	3.92
2026-09-08 20:12:07	1.85	3.71	4.04
2026-09-08 20:22:09	1.85	3.68	4.00
2026-09-08 20:32:08	1.85	3.68	4.00
2026-09-08 20:42:06	1.85	3.68	4.00
2026-09-08 20:52:08	1.85	3.68	4.00
2026-09-08 21:02:07	1.85	3.68	4.00
2026-09-08 21:12:06	1.85	3.68	4.00
2026-09-08 21:22:07	1.84	3.67	3.99
2026-09-08 21:22:08	1.87	3.80	4.10
2026-09-08 21:32:07	1.85	3.68	4.00
2026-09-08 21:42:07	1.85	3.68	4.00
2026-09-08 21:52:08	1.85	3.68	4.00
2026-09-08 22:02:08	1.85	3.68	4.00
2026-09-08 22:12:06	1.85	3.68	4.00
2026-09-08 22:22:09	1.85	3.68	4.00
2026-09-08 22:32:07	1.84	3.69	4.00
2026-09-08 22:42:07	1.84	3.69	4.00
2026-09-08 22:52:08	1.84	3.69	4.00
2026-09-08 23:02:08	1.84	3.69	4.00
2026-09-08 23:12:07	1.84	3.69	4.00
2026-09-08 23:22:08	1.84	3.69	4.00
2026-09-08 23:32:08	1.84	3.69	4.00
2026-09-08 23:42:07	1.84	3.69	4.00
2026-09-08 23:52:07	1.84	3.69	4.00

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.09	Southampton	3 : 1	Swansea
2026.04.18	Swansea	1 : 2	Southampton
2025.10.18	Southampton	0 : 0	Swansea