경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

Championship England · Regular Season - 4

PortsmouthHOME · 1.94

0 : 22026.09.02 · 종료

DerbyAWAY · 3.95

HOME · 현재 순위 15위 승점 3 · 3경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 21위 승점 1 · 3경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME44.5%

DRAW26.4%

AWAY29.1%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH90 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100

AI PICK HOME 36.8% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +5.2%

VALUE EDGE+5.2%

FAIR ODDS3.43

GRADEB

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION LEAN 71/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM HOME +5.5%p

HOME_AWAY HOME +5.6%p

LEAGUE_LEVEL EVEN +0.0%p

STANDING_PPG HOME +5.7%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE EVEN +0.6%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE

Portsmouth분석 지표Derby

16.7% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 8.3%

1.00 평균 득점높을수록 유리 0.92

1.42 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.67

33.3% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 16.7%

3.2일 휴식일비교용 지표 3.3일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

90/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본10.0 / 10

모델 일치도13.3 / 15

예측 분리도6.6 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보4.0 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME48.7%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승50.5%표본 91경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승75.0%표본 4경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승48.1%현재 이동 -11.8%

OPEN → NOW2.20 → 1.94배당 업데이트 2026-09-01 23:52:10

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

44.5%

DRAW

26.4%

AWAY

29.1%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Portsmouth

W · 1-3L · 1-3L · 3-1D · 0-0D · 1-1

Derby

L · 0-3D · 2-2L · 2-1L · 1-2D · 1-1

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN2.20

→

CURRENT1.94

-11.76%ODDS SHORTENED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.30

→

CURRENT3.43

+4.06%ODDS DRIFTED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.26

→

CURRENT3.91

+19.99%ODDS DRIFTED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-01 12:42:07	2.20	3.30	3.26
2026-09-01 12:52:08	2.19	3.28	3.23
2026-09-01 12:52:09	2.22	3.33	3.33
2026-09-01 13:02:08	2.20	3.30	3.26
2026-09-01 13:12:07	2.20	3.30	3.26
2026-09-01 13:22:09	2.20	3.30	3.26
2026-09-01 13:32:07	2.20	3.30	3.26
2026-09-01 13:42:07	2.20	3.30	3.26
2026-09-01 13:52:08	2.20	3.30	3.26
2026-09-01 14:02:08	2.20	3.30	3.26
2026-09-01 14:12:07	2.20	3.30	3.26
2026-09-01 14:22:07	2.19	3.28	3.26
2026-09-01 14:22:08	2.26	3.38	3.28
2026-09-01 14:32:07	2.18	3.28	3.23
2026-09-01 14:32:08	2.21	3.30	3.27
2026-09-01 14:42:08	2.20	3.30	3.26
2026-09-01 14:52:08	2.20	3.30	3.26
2026-09-01 15:02:08	2.05	3.36	3.57
2026-09-01 15:02:09	2.03	3.48	3.78
2026-09-01 15:12:08	2.04	3.38	3.60
2026-09-01 15:22:08	2.04	3.38	3.60
2026-09-01 15:32:07	2.04	3.38	3.60
2026-09-01 15:42:08	2.04	3.38	3.60
2026-09-01 15:52:08	2.04	3.36	3.57
2026-09-01 15:52:09	2.06	3.42	3.67
2026-09-01 16:02:09	2.04	3.38	3.60
2026-09-01 16:12:07	2.04	3.38	3.60
2026-09-01 16:22:07	2.04	3.38	3.60
2026-09-01 16:32:08	2.04	3.38	3.60
2026-09-01 16:42:09	2.04	3.38	3.60
2026-09-01 16:52:07	2.04	3.38	3.60
2026-09-01 17:02:07	2.04	3.38	3.60
2026-09-01 17:12:07	2.04	3.38	3.60
2026-09-01 17:22:09	2.04	3.38	3.60
2026-09-01 17:32:07	2.04	3.38	3.60
2026-09-01 17:42:07	2.04	3.38	3.60
2026-09-01 17:52:08	2.04	3.38	3.60
2026-09-01 18:02:07	1.98	3.40	3.78
2026-09-01 18:12:07	1.98	3.40	3.78
2026-09-01 18:22:07	1.98	3.40	3.78
2026-09-01 18:32:06	1.95	3.38	3.83
2026-09-01 18:32:07	1.99	3.41	3.76
2026-09-01 18:42:07	1.98	3.40	3.78
2026-09-01 18:52:07	1.98	3.40	3.78
2026-09-01 19:02:07	1.98	3.40	3.78
2026-09-01 19:12:06	1.98	3.40	3.78
2026-09-01 19:22:07	1.98	3.40	3.78
2026-09-01 19:32:06	1.97	3.38	3.77
2026-09-01 19:32:07	2.01	3.44	3.81
2026-09-01 19:42:08	1.98	3.40	3.78
2026-09-01 19:52:07	1.98	3.40	3.78
2026-09-01 20:02:07	1.98	3.40	3.78
2026-09-01 20:12:08	1.98	3.40	3.78
2026-09-01 20:22:08	1.98	3.40	3.78
2026-09-01 20:32:08	1.98	3.40	3.78
2026-09-01 20:42:07	1.98	3.40	3.78
2026-09-01 20:52:08	1.98	3.40	3.78
2026-09-01 21:02:08	1.92	3.41	3.90
2026-09-01 21:02:09	1.96	3.44	3.92
2026-09-01 21:12:09	1.94	3.43	3.91
2026-09-01 21:22:08	1.94	3.43	3.91
2026-09-01 21:32:07	1.94	3.43	3.91
2026-09-01 21:42:08	1.94	3.43	3.91
2026-09-01 21:52:10	1.94	3.43	3.91
2026-09-01 22:02:08	1.94	3.43	3.91
2026-09-01 22:12:10	1.94	3.43	3.91
2026-09-01 22:22:09	1.94	3.43	3.91
2026-09-01 22:32:08	1.94	3.43	3.91
2026-09-01 22:32:09	1.99	3.50	3.95
2026-09-01 22:42:07	1.91	3.40	3.93
2026-09-01 22:42:08	1.95	3.44	3.90
2026-09-01 22:52:09	1.94	3.43	3.91
2026-09-01 23:02:09	1.94	3.43	3.91
2026-09-01 23:12:07	1.94	3.43	3.91
2026-09-01 23:22:09	1.92	3.42	3.93
2026-09-01 23:22:10	1.96	3.44	3.89
2026-09-01 23:32:09	1.94	3.43	3.91
2026-09-01 23:42:07	1.91	3.38	3.97
2026-09-01 23:42:08	1.95	3.45	3.89
2026-09-01 23:52:10	1.94	3.43	3.91

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.02	Portsmouth	0 : 2	Derby
2026.03.17	Portsmouth	0 : 1	Derby
2025.12.21	Derby	1 : 1	Portsmouth

부상 / 결장

C. MorrisDerby · Inactive

Missing Fixture

D. MurkinDerby · Hamstring Injury

Missing Fixture

L. TravisDerby · Injury

Missing Fixture

M. ClarkeDerby · Calf Injury

Questionable

P. AgyemangDerby · Achilles Tendon Injury

Missing Fixture

C. OgilviePortsmouth · Knee Injury

Missing Fixture

F. UmehPortsmouth · Hamstring Injury

Missing Fixture

J. FarrellPortsmouth · Groin Injury

Questionable

J. MurphyPortsmouth · Injury

Missing Fixture

K. AndersonPortsmouth · Muscle Injury

Missing Fixture

M. KosznovszkyPortsmouth · Knee Injury

Missing Fixture

T. WaddinghamPortsmouth · Ankle Injury

Missing Fixture

경기 통계

경기 통계가 아직 없습니다. 경기 전/라이브 coverage에 따라 수집됩니다.

분석 주의사항

표본 수가 작을 때 역사적 승률은 모델에서 자동으로 낮은 가중치를 받습니다. 현재 확률은 확정 결과가 아니라 시장 데이터와 누적 경기 결과를 결합한 분석값입니다.