경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

Championship England · Regular Season - 4

SwanseaHOME · 1.88

2 : 02026.09.02 · 종료

WatfordAWAY · 4.00

HOME · 현재 순위 3위 승점 7 · 3경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 9위 승점 5 · 3경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME66.9%

DRAW19.4%

AWAY13.7%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH90 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100

AI PICK HOME 46.5% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +16.7%

VALUE EDGE+16.7%

FAIR ODDS1.49

GRADES

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION STRONG 100/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM HOME +26.8%p

HOME_AWAY HOME +25.0%p

LEAGUE_LEVEL EVEN +0.0%p

STANDING_PPG HOME +5.7%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE HOME +9.6%p

INJURIES EVEN +1.8%p

• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE

Swansea분석 지표Watford

58.3% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 33.3%

1.33 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.08

0.92 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.58

57.1% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 0.0%

3.3일 휴식일비교용 지표 3.2일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

90/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본10.0 / 10

모델 일치도12.1 / 15

예측 분리도15.0 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보4.0 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME50.2%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승56.1%표본 132경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승66.7%표본 3경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승46.7%현재 이동 -0.5%

OPEN → NOW1.89 → 1.88배당 업데이트 2026-09-01 23:52:11

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

66.9%

DRAW

19.4%

AWAY

13.7%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Swansea

W · 0-3D · 0-0W · 1-2L · 0-1W · 1-0

Watford

L · 1-5D · 1-1W · 2-1W · 1-0L · 0-1

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.90

→

CURRENT1.88

-1.01%ODDS SHORTENED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.56

→

CURRENT3.59

+0.66%ODDS DRIFTED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.88

→

CURRENT4.00

+3.24%ODDS DRIFTED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-01 12:22:08	1.90	3.56	3.88
2026-09-01 12:22:09	1.93	3.70	3.95
2026-09-01 12:32:09	1.90	3.57	3.88
2026-09-01 12:42:08	1.90	3.57	3.88
2026-09-01 12:52:09	1.90	3.57	3.88
2026-09-01 13:02:09	1.90	3.57	3.88
2026-09-01 13:12:08	1.90	3.57	3.88
2026-09-01 13:22:10	1.90	3.57	3.88
2026-09-01 13:32:08	1.90	3.57	3.88
2026-09-01 13:42:08	1.90	3.57	3.88
2026-09-01 13:52:09	1.90	3.57	3.88
2026-09-01 14:02:08	1.90	3.57	3.88
2026-09-01 14:12:08	1.90	3.57	3.88
2026-09-01 14:22:08	1.90	3.57	3.88
2026-09-01 14:32:08	1.90	3.57	3.88
2026-09-01 14:42:08	1.90	3.57	3.88
2026-09-01 14:52:09	1.90	3.57	3.88
2026-09-01 15:02:09	1.88	3.58	3.98
2026-09-01 15:12:09	1.88	3.58	3.98
2026-09-01 15:22:09	1.88	3.58	3.98
2026-09-01 15:32:08	1.88	3.58	3.98
2026-09-01 15:42:09	1.88	3.58	3.98
2026-09-01 15:52:09	1.88	3.58	3.98
2026-09-01 16:02:09	1.87	3.55	3.95
2026-09-01 16:02:10	1.91	3.64	4.04
2026-09-01 16:12:08	1.88	3.58	3.98
2026-09-01 16:22:08	1.88	3.58	3.98
2026-09-01 16:32:09	1.88	3.58	3.98
2026-09-01 16:42:09	1.88	3.58	3.98
2026-09-01 16:52:08	1.88	3.58	3.98
2026-09-01 17:02:08	1.88	3.58	3.98
2026-09-01 17:12:08	1.88	3.58	3.98
2026-09-01 17:22:10	1.88	3.58	3.98
2026-09-01 17:32:08	1.88	3.58	3.98
2026-09-01 17:42:07	1.90	3.55	3.80
2026-09-01 17:42:08	1.88	3.58	3.99
2026-09-01 17:52:09	1.88	3.58	3.98
2026-09-01 18:02:07	1.85	3.60	3.98
2026-09-01 18:02:08	1.85	3.65	4.10
2026-09-01 18:12:08	1.85	3.64	4.08
2026-09-01 18:22:07	1.84	3.62	4.05
2026-09-01 18:22:08	1.88	3.72	4.18
2026-09-01 18:32:07	1.85	3.64	4.08
2026-09-01 18:42:07	1.83	3.63	4.03
2026-09-01 18:42:08	1.86	3.65	4.11
2026-09-01 18:52:08	1.85	3.64	4.08
2026-09-01 19:02:08	1.85	3.64	4.08
2026-09-01 19:12:07	1.85	3.64	4.08
2026-09-01 19:22:08	1.85	3.64	4.08
2026-09-01 19:32:07	1.85	3.64	4.08
2026-09-01 19:42:08	1.85	3.60	3.98
2026-09-01 19:42:09	1.85	3.65	4.10
2026-09-01 19:52:08	1.85	3.64	4.08
2026-09-01 20:02:08	1.85	3.64	4.08
2026-09-01 20:12:08	1.84	3.65	4.08
2026-09-01 20:12:09	1.86	3.62	4.07
2026-09-01 20:22:09	1.85	3.64	4.08
2026-09-01 20:32:09	1.85	3.64	4.08
2026-09-01 20:42:08	1.85	3.64	4.08
2026-09-01 20:52:09	1.85	3.64	4.08
2026-09-01 21:02:09	1.88	3.59	4.00
2026-09-01 21:12:09	1.88	3.59	4.00
2026-09-01 21:22:09	1.88	3.59	4.00
2026-09-01 21:32:07	1.87	3.57	3.98
2026-09-01 21:32:08	1.91	3.63	4.05
2026-09-01 21:42:08	1.88	3.59	4.00
2026-09-01 21:52:11	1.88	3.59	4.00
2026-09-01 22:02:09	1.88	3.59	4.00
2026-09-01 22:12:11	1.88	3.59	4.00
2026-09-01 22:22:10	1.88	3.59	4.00
2026-09-01 22:32:09	1.88	3.59	4.00
2026-09-01 22:42:08	1.88	3.59	4.00
2026-09-01 22:52:09	1.86	3.58	3.94
2026-09-01 22:52:10	1.89	3.59	4.03
2026-09-01 23:02:10	1.88	3.59	4.00
2026-09-01 23:12:08	1.88	3.59	4.00
2026-09-01 23:22:10	1.88	3.59	4.00
2026-09-01 23:32:10	1.88	3.59	4.00
2026-09-01 23:42:08	1.88	3.59	4.00
2026-09-01 23:52:11	1.88	3.59	4.00

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.02	Swansea	2 : 0	Watford
2026.02.01	Watford	0 : 2	Swansea
2025.08.23	Swansea	1 : 1	Watford