경기 상세 분석
종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질
Segunda División
Peru · Regular Season - 17

Molinos El PirataHOME · 2.45
2 : 42026.09.08 · 종료
Carlos A. MannucciAWAY · 2.60

HOME · 현재 순위
4위
승점 24
· 14경기
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위
3위
승점 27
· 15경기
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME65.7%
DRAW17.5%
AWAY16.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH83 / 100
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME36.9%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승44.3%표본 228경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승50.0%표본 2경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승48.9%현재 이동 -3.5%
OPEN → NOW2.54 → 2.45배당 업데이트 2026-09-07 23:52:27
확률 구성
배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
최근 경기력
현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
Molinos El PirataD · 1-1L · 1-2D · 1-1L · 3-1W · 3-2
Carlos A. MannucciW · 2-0D · 0-0L · 0-1W · 2-0L · 2-0
배당 변화 히스토리
OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOMEDRAWAWAY
HOME80 SNAPSHOTS
-8.36%ODDS SHORTENED
DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS
-0.40%ODDS SHORTENED
AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS
+11.21%ODDS DRIFTED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기
| 수집시간 | HOME | DRAW | AWAY |
|---|
| 2026-09-07 13:22:17 | 2.68 | 3.16 | 2.29 |
| 2026-09-07 13:32:16 | 2.68 | 3.16 | 2.29 |
| 2026-09-07 13:42:16 | 2.68 | 3.16 | 2.29 |
| 2026-09-07 13:52:17 | 2.68 | 3.16 | 2.29 |
| 2026-09-07 14:02:16 | 2.68 | 3.16 | 2.29 |
| 2026-09-07 14:12:15 | 2.68 | 3.16 | 2.29 |
| 2026-09-07 14:22:17 | 2.68 | 3.16 | 2.29 |
| 2026-09-07 14:32:17 | 2.68 | 3.16 | 2.29 |
| 2026-09-07 14:42:15 | 2.68 | 3.16 | 2.29 |
| 2026-09-07 14:52:17 | 2.68 | 3.16 | 2.29 |
| 2026-09-07 15:02:18 | 2.44 | 3.11 | 2.53 |
| 2026-09-07 15:12:15 | 2.44 | 3.11 | 2.53 |
| 2026-09-07 15:22:17 | 2.43 | 3.09 | 2.54 |
| 2026-09-07 15:22:18 | 2.50 | 3.24 | 2.48 |
| 2026-09-07 15:32:17 | 2.44 | 3.11 | 2.53 |
| 2026-09-07 15:42:16 | 2.44 | 3.11 | 2.53 |
| 2026-09-07 15:52:19 | 2.44 | 3.11 | 2.53 |
| 2026-09-07 16:02:16 | 2.44 | 3.11 | 2.53 |
| 2026-09-07 16:12:16 | 2.44 | 3.11 | 2.53 |
| 2026-09-07 16:22:18 | 2.44 | 3.11 | 2.53 |
| 2026-09-07 16:32:16 | 2.44 | 3.11 | 2.53 |
| 2026-09-07 16:42:15 | 2.50 | 3.00 | 2.60 |
| 2026-09-07 16:42:16 | 2.43 | 3.14 | 2.52 |
| 2026-09-07 16:52:18 | 2.44 | 3.11 | 2.53 |
| 2026-09-07 17:02:17 | 2.44 | 3.11 | 2.53 |
| 2026-09-07 17:12:16 | 2.44 | 3.11 | 2.53 |
| 2026-09-07 17:22:17 | 2.44 | 3.11 | 2.53 |
| 2026-09-07 17:32:16 | 2.44 | 3.11 | 2.53 |
| 2026-09-07 17:42:16 | 2.44 | 3.11 | 2.53 |
| 2026-09-07 17:52:18 | 2.44 | 3.11 | 2.53 |
| 2026-09-07 18:02:15 | 2.46 | 3.15 | 2.55 |
| 2026-09-07 18:12:16 | 2.46 | 3.15 | 2.55 |
| 2026-09-07 18:22:20 | 2.46 | 3.15 | 2.55 |
| 2026-09-07 18:32:20 | 2.46 | 3.15 | 2.55 |
| 2026-09-07 18:42:21 | 2.46 | 3.15 | 2.55 |
| 2026-09-07 18:52:24 | 2.46 | 3.15 | 2.55 |
| 2026-09-07 19:02:23 | 2.46 | 3.15 | 2.55 |
| 2026-09-07 19:12:22 | 2.46 | 3.15 | 2.55 |
| 2026-09-07 19:22:26 | 2.46 | 3.15 | 2.55 |
| 2026-09-07 19:32:23 | 2.46 | 3.15 | 2.55 |
| 2026-09-07 19:32:24 | 2.46 | 3.15 | 2.55 |
| 2026-09-07 19:42:23 | 2.46 | 3.15 | 2.55 |
| 2026-09-07 19:42:24 | 2.46 | 3.15 | 2.55 |
| 2026-09-07 19:52:24 | 2.46 | 3.15 | 2.55 |
| 2026-09-07 19:52:25 | 2.46 | 3.15 | 2.55 |
| 2026-09-07 20:02:22 | 2.47 | 3.16 | 2.54 |
| 2026-09-07 20:02:23 | 2.42 | 3.11 | 2.58 |
| 2026-09-07 20:12:22 | 2.46 | 3.15 | 2.55 |
| 2026-09-07 20:12:23 | 2.46 | 3.15 | 2.55 |
| 2026-09-07 20:22:24 | 2.46 | 3.15 | 2.55 |
| 2026-09-07 20:22:25 | 2.46 | 3.15 | 2.55 |
| 2026-09-07 20:32:22 | 2.46 | 3.15 | 2.55 |
| 2026-09-07 20:32:23 | 2.46 | 3.15 | 2.55 |
| 2026-09-07 20:42:22 | 2.46 | 3.15 | 2.55 |
| 2026-09-07 20:42:23 | 2.46 | 3.15 | 2.55 |
| 2026-09-07 20:52:24 | 2.46 | 3.15 | 2.55 |
| 2026-09-07 20:52:25 | 2.46 | 3.15 | 2.55 |
| 2026-09-07 21:02:23 | 2.44 | 3.17 | 2.57 |
| 2026-09-07 21:02:24 | 2.47 | 3.13 | 2.53 |
| 2026-09-07 21:12:25 | 2.46 | 3.15 | 2.55 |
| 2026-09-07 21:22:27 | 2.45 | 3.10 | 2.54 |
| 2026-09-07 21:22:28 | 2.46 | 3.15 | 2.55 |
| 2026-09-07 21:32:25 | 2.46 | 3.15 | 2.55 |
| 2026-09-07 21:42:25 | 2.46 | 3.15 | 2.55 |
| 2026-09-07 21:52:28 | 2.46 | 3.15 | 2.55 |
| 2026-09-07 22:02:23 | 2.49 | 3.18 | 2.52 |
| 2026-09-07 22:02:24 | 2.42 | 3.11 | 2.58 |
| 2026-09-07 22:12:27 | 2.46 | 3.15 | 2.55 |
| 2026-09-07 22:22:28 | 2.46 | 3.15 | 2.55 |
| 2026-09-07 22:32:26 | 2.46 | 3.15 | 2.55 |
| 2026-09-07 22:42:26 | 2.49 | 3.18 | 2.52 |
| 2026-09-07 22:42:27 | 2.42 | 3.11 | 2.58 |
| 2026-09-07 22:52:28 | 2.45 | 3.20 | 2.45 |
| 2026-09-07 22:52:29 | 2.46 | 3.14 | 2.56 |
| 2026-09-07 23:02:24 | 2.46 | 3.15 | 2.55 |
| 2026-09-07 23:12:26 | 2.46 | 3.15 | 2.55 |
| 2026-09-07 23:22:27 | 2.46 | 3.15 | 2.55 |
| 2026-09-07 23:32:26 | 2.46 | 3.15 | 2.55 |
| 2026-09-07 23:42:25 | 2.46 | 3.15 | 2.55 |
| 2026-09-07 23:52:27 | 2.46 | 3.15 | 2.55 |
상대전적 H2H
| 날짜 | 홈 | 결과 | 원정 |
|---|
| 2026.09.08 | Molinos El Pirata | 2 : 4 | Carlos A. Mannucci |
| 2026.05.25 | Carlos A. Mannucci | 1 : 0 | Molinos El Pirata |
| 2025.06.01 | Carlos A. Mannucci | 1 : 0 | Molinos El Pirata |
| 2025.04.13 | Molinos El Pirata | 0 : 1 | Carlos A. Mannucci |