LIVE 27 오늘 293경기

경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

Segunda División Chile · Promotion Group - 7
ColchaguaHOME · 2.38
2 : 02026.10.05 · 종료
Provincial OsornoAWAY · 2.73
HOME · 현재 순위 3위 승점 22 · 12경기
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위 1위 승점 24 · 12경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME35.3%
DRAW32.7%
AWAY32.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH83 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100
AI PICK HOME 32.4% CAL
VALUE PICK DRAW +3.6%
VALUE EDGE+3.6%
FAIR ODDS3.06
GRADEB
FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION WATCH 61/100 · LOW RISK
RECENT_FORM AWAY -2.6%p
HOME_AWAY EVEN +1.1%p
LEAGUE_LEVEL EVEN +0.0%p
STANDING_PPG AWAY -9.2%p
ATTACK_DEFENCE EVEN -0.4%p
H2H EVEN +0.0%p
• INJURIES DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE
Colchagua분석 지표Provincial Osorno
16.7% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 25.0%
0.42 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.00
0.92 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 0.83
16.7% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 0.0%
14.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 14.0일
API Prediction 없음 Lineups 없음 Injuries 없음 Statistics 없음
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

83/100 HIGH
데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20
시장/배당15.0 / 15
최근 전력10.0 / 10
과거 표본10.0 / 10
모델 일치도11.9 / 15
예측 분리도1.1 / 15
데이터 신선도8.5 / 10
종목 핵심정보3.0 / 5
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME37.9%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승41.1%표본 219경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승75.0%표본 4경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승46.9%현재 이동 +0.0%
OPEN → NOW2.38 → 2.38배당 업데이트 2026-10-04 15:32:59

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
HOME
35.3%
DRAW
32.7%
AWAY
32.0%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
Colchagua
L · 1-0L · 1-0L · 0-1D · 0-0L · 0-1
Provincial Osorno
L · 1-2L · 2-1D · 2-2L · 1-0W · 1-0

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOMEDRAWAWAY
+6.0%+3.0%0.0%-3.0%-6.0%10/04 09:0310/04 10:3310/04 11:5210/04 13:3310/04 15:32HOME · 배당 2.38 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 09:03:16HOME · 배당 2.38 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 09:24:12HOME · 배당 2.34 · 변동 -1.95% · 2026-10-04 09:53:21HOME · 배당 2.44 · 변동 +2.60% · 2026-10-04 09:53:22HOME · 배당 2.39 · 변동 +0.30% · 2026-10-04 10:12:30HOME · 배당 2.38 · 변동 -0.27% · 2026-10-04 10:33:32HOME · 배당 2.47 · 변동 +3.72% · 2026-10-04 10:33:33HOME · 배당 2.33 · 변동 -2.37% · 2026-10-04 10:53:37HOME · 배당 2.41 · 변동 +1.37% · 2026-10-04 10:53:38HOME · 배당 2.39 · 변동 +0.30% · 2026-10-04 11:12:36HOME · 배당 2.36 · 변동 -1.07% · 2026-10-04 11:33:23HOME · 배당 2.47 · 변동 +3.72% · 2026-10-04 11:33:24HOME · 배당 2.39 · 변동 +0.30% · 2026-10-04 11:52:57HOME · 배당 2.39 · 변동 +0.30% · 2026-10-04 12:12:50HOME · 배당 2.30 · 변동 -3.42% · 2026-10-04 12:35:23HOME · 배당 2.40 · 변동 +0.92% · 2026-10-04 12:35:24HOME · 배당 2.39 · 변동 +0.30% · 2026-10-04 12:52:55HOME · 배당 2.39 · 변동 +0.30% · 2026-10-04 13:13:38HOME · 배당 2.39 · 변동 +0.30% · 2026-10-04 13:33:27HOME · 배당 2.39 · 변동 +0.30% · 2026-10-04 13:52:56HOME · 배당 2.39 · 변동 +0.30% · 2026-10-04 14:12:31HOME · 배당 2.39 · 변동 +0.30% · 2026-10-04 14:32:43HOME · 배당 2.39 · 변동 +0.30% · 2026-10-04 14:53:46HOME · 배당 2.39 · 변동 +0.30% · 2026-10-04 15:12:29HOME · 배당 2.39 · 변동 +0.30% · 2026-10-04 15:32:59DRAW · 배당 3.17 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 09:03:16DRAW · 배당 3.17 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 09:24:12DRAW · 배당 3.13 · 변동 -1.27% · 2026-10-04 09:53:21DRAW · 배당 3.23 · 변동 +1.70% · 2026-10-04 09:53:22DRAW · 배당 3.17 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 10:12:30DRAW · 배당 3.19 · 변동 +0.38% · 2026-10-04 10:33:32DRAW · 배당 3.10 · 변동 -2.30% · 2026-10-04 10:33:33DRAW · 배당 3.18 · 변동 +0.07% · 2026-10-04 10:53:37DRAW · 배당 3.17 · 변동 -0.03% · 2026-10-04 10:53:38DRAW · 배당 3.17 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 11:12:36DRAW · 배당 3.13 · 변동 -1.29% · 2026-10-04 11:33:23DRAW · 배당 3.28 · 변동 +3.22% · 2026-10-04 11:33:24DRAW · 배당 3.17 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 11:52:57DRAW · 배당 3.17 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 12:12:50DRAW · 배당 3.10 · 변동 -2.30% · 2026-10-04 12:35:23DRAW · 배당 3.19 · 변동 +0.38% · 2026-10-04 12:35:24DRAW · 배당 3.17 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 12:52:55DRAW · 배당 3.17 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 13:13:38DRAW · 배당 3.17 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 13:33:27DRAW · 배당 3.17 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 13:52:56DRAW · 배당 3.17 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 14:12:31DRAW · 배당 3.17 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 14:32:43DRAW · 배당 3.17 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 14:53:46DRAW · 배당 3.17 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 15:12:29DRAW · 배당 3.17 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 15:32:59AWAY · 배당 2.72 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 09:03:16AWAY · 배당 2.72 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-04 09:24:12AWAY · 배당 2.69 · 변동 -1.14% · 2026-10-04 09:53:21AWAY · 배당 2.76 · 변동 +1.52% · 2026-10-04 09:53:22AWAY · 배당 2.71 · 변동 -0.42% · 2026-10-04 10:12:30AWAY · 배당 2.70 · 변동 -0.68% · 2026-10-04 10:33:32AWAY · 배당 2.75 · 변동 +1.16% · 2026-10-04 10:33:33AWAY · 배당 2.62 · 변동 -3.63% · 2026-10-04 10:53:37AWAY · 배당 2.74 · 변동 +0.86% · 2026-10-04 10:53:38AWAY · 배당 2.71 · 변동 -0.42% · 2026-10-04 11:12:36AWAY · 배당 2.68 · 변동 -1.42% · 2026-10-04 11:33:23AWAY · 배당 2.78 · 변동 +2.08% · 2026-10-04 11:33:24AWAY · 배당 2.71 · 변동 -0.42% · 2026-10-04 11:52:57AWAY · 배당 2.71 · 변동 -0.42% · 2026-10-04 12:12:50AWAY · 배당 2.62 · 변동 -3.63% · 2026-10-04 12:35:23AWAY · 배당 2.72 · 변동 +0.11% · 2026-10-04 12:35:24AWAY · 배당 2.71 · 변동 -0.42% · 2026-10-04 12:52:55AWAY · 배당 2.71 · 변동 -0.42% · 2026-10-04 13:13:38AWAY · 배당 2.71 · 변동 -0.42% · 2026-10-04 13:33:27AWAY · 배당 2.71 · 변동 -0.42% · 2026-10-04 13:52:56AWAY · 배당 2.71 · 변동 -0.42% · 2026-10-04 14:12:31AWAY · 배당 2.71 · 변동 -0.42% · 2026-10-04 14:32:43AWAY · 배당 2.71 · 변동 -0.42% · 2026-10-04 14:53:46AWAY · 배당 2.71 · 변동 -0.42% · 2026-10-04 15:12:29AWAY · 배당 2.71 · 변동 -0.42% · 2026-10-04 15:32:59
HOME25 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN2.38
→
CURRENT2.39
+0.30%ODDS DRIFTED
DRAW25 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN3.17
→
CURRENT3.17
+0.00%UNCHANGED
AWAY25 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN2.72
→
CURRENT2.71
-0.42%ODDS SHORTENED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기
수집시간HOMEDRAWAWAY
2026-10-04 09:03:162.383.172.72
2026-10-04 09:24:122.383.172.72
2026-10-04 09:53:212.343.132.69
2026-10-04 09:53:222.443.232.76
2026-10-04 10:12:302.393.172.71
2026-10-04 10:33:322.383.192.70
2026-10-04 10:33:332.473.102.75
2026-10-04 10:53:372.333.182.62
2026-10-04 10:53:382.413.172.74
2026-10-04 11:12:362.393.172.71
2026-10-04 11:33:232.363.132.68
2026-10-04 11:33:242.473.282.78
2026-10-04 11:52:572.393.172.71
2026-10-04 12:12:502.393.172.71
2026-10-04 12:35:232.303.102.62
2026-10-04 12:35:242.403.192.72
2026-10-04 12:52:552.393.172.71
2026-10-04 13:13:382.393.172.71
2026-10-04 13:33:272.393.172.71
2026-10-04 13:52:562.393.172.71
2026-10-04 14:12:312.393.172.71
2026-10-04 14:32:432.393.172.71
2026-10-04 14:53:462.393.172.71
2026-10-04 15:12:292.393.172.71
2026-10-04 15:32:592.393.172.71

상대전적 H2H

날짜홈결과원정
2026.10.05Colchagua2 : 0Provincial Osorno
2026.06.22Colchagua0 : 0Provincial Osorno
2026.04.19Provincial Osorno2 : 2Colchagua