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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Super Cup Greece · Super Cup - Final
OlympiacosHOME · -
75 : 512023.10.01 · 종료
PanathinaikosAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME62.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY37.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 57.7% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +62.3%
VALUE EDGE+62.3%
FAIR ODDS1.60
GRADEA
OlympiacosAnalysis MetricsPanathinaikos
83.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 75.0%
+11.42 Point MarginHigher is better +6.83
157.92 Pace ProxyComparison metric 163.83
66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 66.7%
1.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 1.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

72/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.6 / 15
Prediction separation10.6 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
62.3%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
37.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Olympiacos
W · 64-84W · 52-67W · 93-65W · 73-81W · 76-70
Panathinaikos
W · 64-77L · 52-67W · 72-67L · 73-81W · 68-85

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.03.07Olympiacos86 : 80Panathinaikos
2026.01.03Panathinaikos82 : 87Olympiacos
2024.09.30Panathinaikos85 : 86Olympiacos
2023.10.01Olympiacos75 : 51Panathinaikos
2022.10.03Panathinaikos52 : 67Olympiacos
2022.02.21Panathinaikos73 : 81Olympiacos
2019.01.05Olympiacos79 : 65Panathinaikos
2018.11.10Panathinaikos93 : 80Olympiacos
2017.01.17Olympiacos67 : 77Panathinaikos
2015.10.09Olympiacos64 : 70Panathinaikos