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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Greek Cup Women Greece · Greek Cup Women - Quarter-finals
Esperides Kalliotheas WHOME · -
77 : 582023.12.23 · 종료
PAOK WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME69.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY30.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 100/100
AI PICK HOME 68.2% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +69.2%
VALUE EDGE+69.2%
FAIR ODDS1.44
GRADEA
Esperides Kalliotheas WAnalysis MetricsPAOK W
33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
-2.67 Point MarginHigher is better -8.33
129.50 Pace ProxyComparison metric 140.00
20.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 20.0%
6.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.6 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
69.2%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
30.8%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Esperides Kalliotheas W
W · 78-59W · 78-43W · 68-63L · 78-68W · 89-59
PAOK W
L · 82-62L · 55-74L · 85-67W · 77-54W · 62-81

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2025.03.19PAOK W75 : 65Esperides Kalliotheas W
2025.03.16Esperides Kalliotheas W64 : 69PAOK W
2025.03.12PAOK W48 : 78Esperides Kalliotheas W
2025.03.09PAOK W66 : 55Esperides Kalliotheas W
2024.12.22Esperides Kalliotheas W62 : 67PAOK W
2024.01.13PAOK W76 : 69Esperides Kalliotheas W
2023.12.23Esperides Kalliotheas W77 : 58PAOK W
2023.10.07Esperides Kalliotheas W69 : 66PAOK W
2023.02.04Esperides Kalliotheas W68 : 59PAOK W