Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Greek Cup
Greece · Greek Cup - Semi-finals
OlympiacosHOME · -
76 : 702022.02.19 · 종료
AEK AthensAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME54.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY45.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
99/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.7%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+54.6%
VALUE EDGE+54.6%
FAIR ODDS1.83
GRADES
OlympiacosAnalysis MetricsAEK Athens
75.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
+8.75
Point MarginHigher is better
-4.17
159.08
Pace ProxyComparison metric
160.67
60.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
20.0%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.1 / 15
Prediction separation3.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Olympiacos
W · 110-85W · 55-90W · 67-94W · 99-74L · 68-72
AEK Athens
W · 90-77W · 69-67L · 71-67L · 62-63W · 75-84
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.09.26 | Olympiacos | 93 : 80 | AEK Athens |
| 2022.02.19 | Olympiacos | 76 : 70 | AEK Athens |
| 2011.01.30 | AEK Athens | 74 : 79 | Olympiacos |
| 2010.11.01 | Olympiacos | 82 : 50 | AEK Athens |
| 2010.04.11 | Olympiacos | 84 : 53 | AEK Athens |
| 2010.01.04 | AEK Athens | 91 : 96 | Olympiacos |
| 2009.02.18 | AEK Athens | 75 : 95 | Olympiacos |
| 2008.11.16 | Olympiacos | 101 : 84 | AEK Athens |