LIVE 198 오늘 996경기

경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기
Liga Pro Serie B Ecuador · Relegation Group - 2
El NacionalHOME · 2.17
0 : 22026.09.05 · 종료
LDU PortoviejoAWAY · 3.37
HOME · 현재 순위 12위 승점 12 · 22경기
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위 9위 승점 27 · 22경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME24.8%
DRAW38.3%
AWAY36.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH82 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100
AI PICK DRAW 32.3% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +10.1%
VALUE EDGE+10.1%
FAIR ODDS2.71
GRADES
FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION LEAN 73/100 · LOW RISK
RECENT_FORM HOME +5.6%p
HOME_AWAY HOME +4.5%p
LEAGUE_LEVEL EVEN +0.0%p
STANDING_PPG AWAY -21.6%p
ATTACK_DEFENCE AWAY -6.1%p
INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p
• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE
El Nacional분석 지표LDU Portoviejo
33.3% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 33.3%
1.33 평균 득점높을수록 유리 0.92
1.42 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 0.75
40.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 0.0%
6.1일 휴식일비교용 지표 9.1일
API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

82/100 HIGH
데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20
시장/배당15.0 / 15
최근 전력10.0 / 10
과거 표본10.0 / 10
모델 일치도9.9 / 15
예측 분리도0.6 / 15
데이터 신선도10.0 / 10
종목 핵심정보4.0 / 5
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME41.6%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승33.6%표본 125경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 1경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승35.6%현재 이동 -21.1%
OPEN → NOW2.75 → 2.17배당 업데이트 2026-09-05 23:23:20

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
HOME
24.8%
DRAW
38.3%
AWAY
36.9%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
El Nacional
L · 3-0D · 1-1L · 0-1W · 1-0W · 1-3
LDU Portoviejo
D · 0-0W · 2-0D · 0-0D · 0-0L · 1-0

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOMEDRAWAWAY
+50.0%+25.0%0.0%-25.0%-50.0%09/04 06:1509/05 04:4209/05 10:0209/05 14:0209/05 23:23HOME · 배당 2.77 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-04 06:15:41HOME · 배당 2.73 · 변동 -1.18% · 2026-09-04 06:15:42HOME · 배당 2.61 · 변동 -5.74% · 2026-09-05 00:02:11HOME · 배당 2.33 · 변동 -15.70% · 2026-09-05 02:02:17HOME · 배당 2.33 · 변동 -15.70% · 2026-09-05 02:32:18HOME · 배당 2.36 · 변동 -14.75% · 2026-09-05 03:02:19HOME · 배당 2.24 · 변동 -19.04% · 2026-09-05 03:02:20HOME · 배당 2.33 · 변동 -15.70% · 2026-09-05 03:32:18HOME · 배당 2.21 · 변동 -20.12% · 2026-09-05 04:42:07HOME · 배당 2.21 · 변동 -20.12% · 2026-09-05 05:22:08HOME · 배당 2.21 · 변동 -20.12% · 2026-09-05 06:02:06HOME · 배당 2.21 · 변동 -20.12% · 2026-09-05 06:42:07HOME · 배당 2.23 · 변동 -19.40% · 2026-09-05 07:22:07HOME · 배당 2.19 · 변동 -20.84% · 2026-09-05 07:22:08HOME · 배당 2.15 · 변동 -22.41% · 2026-09-05 08:02:10HOME · 배당 2.15 · 변동 -22.41% · 2026-09-05 08:42:09HOME · 배당 2.15 · 변동 -22.41% · 2026-09-05 09:22:10HOME · 배당 2.15 · 변동 -22.41% · 2026-09-05 10:02:10HOME · 배당 2.15 · 변동 -22.41% · 2026-09-05 10:42:11HOME · 배당 2.17 · 변동 -21.57% · 2026-09-05 11:22:37HOME · 배당 2.12 · 변동 -23.25% · 2026-09-05 11:22:38HOME · 배당 2.15 · 변동 -22.41% · 2026-09-05 12:02:28HOME · 배당 2.15 · 변동 -22.41% · 2026-09-05 12:42:26HOME · 배당 2.17 · 변동 -21.57% · 2026-09-05 13:22:39HOME · 배당 2.12 · 변동 -23.25% · 2026-09-05 13:22:40HOME · 배당 2.15 · 변동 -22.41% · 2026-09-05 14:02:24HOME · 배당 2.15 · 변동 -22.41% · 2026-09-05 14:42:17HOME · 배당 2.15 · 변동 -22.41% · 2026-09-05 15:22:20HOME · 배당 2.15 · 변동 -22.41% · 2026-09-05 16:02:22HOME · 배당 2.14 · 변동 -22.65% · 2026-09-05 22:03:11HOME · 배당 2.18 · 변동 -21.20% · 2026-09-05 22:03:12HOME · 배당 2.15 · 변동 -22.41% · 2026-09-05 22:43:00HOME · 배당 2.25 · 변동 -18.67% · 2026-09-05 23:23:19HOME · 배당 2.13 · 변동 -23.16% · 2026-09-05 23:23:20DRAW · 배당 3.01 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-04 06:15:41DRAW · 배당 3.13 · 변동 +3.94% · 2026-09-04 06:15:42DRAW · 배당 3.08 · 변동 +2.36% · 2026-09-05 00:02:11DRAW · 배당 2.99 · 변동 -0.77% · 2026-09-05 02:02:17DRAW · 배당 2.99 · 변동 -0.77% · 2026-09-05 02:32:18DRAW · 배당 2.99 · 변동 -0.87% · 2026-09-05 03:02:19DRAW · 배당 3.00 · 변동 -0.44% · 2026-09-05 03:02:20DRAW · 배당 2.99 · 변동 -0.77% · 2026-09-05 03:32:18DRAW · 배당 2.82 · 변동 -6.47% · 2026-09-05 04:42:07DRAW · 배당 2.82 · 변동 -6.47% · 2026-09-05 05:22:08DRAW · 배당 2.82 · 변동 -6.47% · 2026-09-05 06:02:06DRAW · 배당 2.82 · 변동 -6.47% · 2026-09-05 06:42:07DRAW · 배당 2.85 · 변동 -5.42% · 2026-09-05 07:22:07DRAW · 배당 2.79 · 변동 -7.52% · 2026-09-05 07:22:08DRAW · 배당 2.84 · 변동 -5.92% · 2026-09-05 08:02:10DRAW · 배당 2.84 · 변동 -5.92% · 2026-09-05 08:42:09DRAW · 배당 2.84 · 변동 -5.92% · 2026-09-05 09:22:10DRAW · 배당 2.84 · 변동 -5.92% · 2026-09-05 10:02:10DRAW · 배당 2.84 · 변동 -5.92% · 2026-09-05 10:42:11DRAW · 배당 2.85 · 변동 -5.31% · 2026-09-05 11:22:37DRAW · 배당 2.82 · 변동 -6.53% · 2026-09-05 11:22:38DRAW · 배당 2.84 · 변동 -5.92% · 2026-09-05 12:02:28DRAW · 배당 2.84 · 변동 -5.92% · 2026-09-05 12:42:26DRAW · 배당 2.85 · 변동 -5.31% · 2026-09-05 13:22:39DRAW · 배당 2.82 · 변동 -6.53% · 2026-09-05 13:22:40DRAW · 배당 2.84 · 변동 -5.92% · 2026-09-05 14:02:24DRAW · 배당 2.84 · 변동 -5.92% · 2026-09-05 14:42:17DRAW · 배당 2.84 · 변동 -5.92% · 2026-09-05 15:22:20DRAW · 배당 2.84 · 변동 -5.92% · 2026-09-05 16:02:22DRAW · 배당 2.83 · 변동 -6.08% · 2026-09-05 22:03:11DRAW · 배당 2.86 · 변동 -5.09% · 2026-09-05 22:03:12DRAW · 배당 2.84 · 변동 -5.92% · 2026-09-05 22:43:00DRAW · 배당 2.70 · 변동 -10.40% · 2026-09-05 23:23:19DRAW · 배당 2.86 · 변동 -5.02% · 2026-09-05 23:23:20AWAY · 배당 2.38 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-09-04 06:15:41AWAY · 배당 2.39 · 변동 +0.48% · 2026-09-04 06:15:42AWAY · 배당 2.52 · 변동 +5.98% · 2026-09-05 00:02:11AWAY · 배당 2.96 · 변동 +24.64% · 2026-09-05 02:02:17AWAY · 배당 2.96 · 변동 +24.64% · 2026-09-05 02:32:18AWAY · 배당 2.89 · 변동 +21.78% · 2026-09-05 03:02:19AWAY · 배당 3.20 · 변동 +34.64% · 2026-09-05 03:02:20AWAY · 배당 2.96 · 변동 +24.64% · 2026-09-05 03:32:18AWAY · 배당 3.21 · 변동 +34.92% · 2026-09-05 04:42:07AWAY · 배당 3.21 · 변동 +34.92% · 2026-09-05 05:22:08AWAY · 배당 3.21 · 변동 +34.92% · 2026-09-05 06:02:06AWAY · 배당 3.21 · 변동 +34.92% · 2026-09-05 06:42:07AWAY · 배당 3.23 · 변동 +35.76% · 2026-09-05 07:22:07AWAY · 배당 3.19 · 변동 +34.08% · 2026-09-05 07:22:08AWAY · 배당 3.32 · 변동 +39.76% · 2026-09-05 08:02:10AWAY · 배당 3.32 · 변동 +39.76% · 2026-09-05 08:42:09AWAY · 배당 3.32 · 변동 +39.76% · 2026-09-05 09:22:10AWAY · 배당 3.32 · 변동 +39.76% · 2026-09-05 10:02:10AWAY · 배당 3.32 · 변동 +39.76% · 2026-09-05 10:42:11AWAY · 배당 3.35 · 변동 +40.81% · 2026-09-05 11:22:37AWAY · 배당 3.30 · 변동 +38.71% · 2026-09-05 11:22:38AWAY · 배당 3.32 · 변동 +39.76% · 2026-09-05 12:02:28AWAY · 배당 3.32 · 변동 +39.76% · 2026-09-05 12:42:26AWAY · 배당 3.35 · 변동 +40.81% · 2026-09-05 13:22:39AWAY · 배당 3.30 · 변동 +38.71% · 2026-09-05 13:22:40AWAY · 배당 3.32 · 변동 +39.76% · 2026-09-05 14:02:24AWAY · 배당 3.32 · 변동 +39.76% · 2026-09-05 14:42:17AWAY · 배당 3.32 · 변동 +39.76% · 2026-09-05 15:22:20AWAY · 배당 3.32 · 변동 +39.76% · 2026-09-05 16:02:22AWAY · 배당 3.30 · 변동 +38.93% · 2026-09-05 22:03:11AWAY · 배당 3.42 · 변동 +43.90% · 2026-09-05 22:03:12AWAY · 배당 3.32 · 변동 +39.76% · 2026-09-05 22:43:00AWAY · 배당 3.40 · 변동 +43.06% · 2026-09-05 23:23:19AWAY · 배당 3.31 · 변동 +39.10% · 2026-09-05 23:23:20
HOME34 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN2.77
→
CURRENT2.13
-23.16%ODDS SHORTENED
DRAW34 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN3.01
→
CURRENT2.86
-5.02%ODDS SHORTENED
AWAY34 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN2.38
→
CURRENT3.31
+39.10%ODDS DRIFTED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기
수집시간HOMEDRAWAWAY
2026-09-04 06:15:412.773.012.38
2026-09-04 06:15:422.733.132.39
2026-09-05 00:02:112.613.082.52
2026-09-05 02:02:172.332.992.96
2026-09-05 02:32:182.332.992.96
2026-09-05 03:02:192.362.992.89
2026-09-05 03:02:202.243.003.20
2026-09-05 03:32:182.332.992.96
2026-09-05 04:42:072.212.823.21
2026-09-05 05:22:082.212.823.21
2026-09-05 06:02:062.212.823.21
2026-09-05 06:42:072.212.823.21
2026-09-05 07:22:072.232.853.23
2026-09-05 07:22:082.192.793.19
2026-09-05 08:02:102.152.843.32
2026-09-05 08:42:092.152.843.32
2026-09-05 09:22:102.152.843.32
2026-09-05 10:02:102.152.843.32
2026-09-05 10:42:112.152.843.32
2026-09-05 11:22:372.172.853.35
2026-09-05 11:22:382.122.823.30
2026-09-05 12:02:282.152.843.32
2026-09-05 12:42:262.152.843.32
2026-09-05 13:22:392.172.853.35
2026-09-05 13:22:402.122.823.30
2026-09-05 14:02:242.152.843.32
2026-09-05 14:42:172.152.843.32
2026-09-05 15:22:202.152.843.32
2026-09-05 16:02:222.152.843.32
2026-09-05 22:03:112.142.833.30
2026-09-05 22:03:122.182.863.42
2026-09-05 22:43:002.152.843.32
2026-09-05 23:23:192.252.703.40
2026-09-05 23:23:202.132.863.31

상대전적 H2H

날짜홈결과원정
2026.10.04LDU Portoviejo3 : 2El Nacional
2026.09.05El Nacional0 : 2LDU Portoviejo
2026.06.01El Nacional0 : 1LDU Portoviejo
2026.03.29LDU Portoviejo2 : 1El Nacional