LIVE 33 오늘 290경기

경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

Serie B Brazil · Regular Season - 31
Botafogo SPHOME · 2.40
0 : 12026.10.04 · 종료
Vila NovaAWAY · 3.04
HOME · 현재 순위 16위 승점 38 · 32경기
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위 2위 승점 58 · 32경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME54.6%
DRAW25.2%
AWAY20.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH82 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 89/100
AI PICK HOME 40.3% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +16.0%
VALUE EDGE+16.0%
FAIR ODDS1.83
GRADES
FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION STRONG 96/100 · LOW RISK
RECENT_FORM HOME +17.3%p
HOME_AWAY HOME +16.7%p
LEAGUE_LEVEL EVEN +0.0%p
ATTACK_DEFENCE HOME +3.5%p
H2H AWAY -33.3%p
REST AWAY -19.8%p
• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• INJURIES DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE
Botafogo SP분석 지표Vila Nova
33.3% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 50.0%
1.00 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.33
1.42 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 0.75
33.3% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 20.0%
4.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 7.9일
API Prediction 없음 Lineups 없음 Injuries 없음 Statistics 없음
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

82/100 HIGH
데이터 커버리지17.7 / 20
시장/배당15.0 / 15
최근 전력10.0 / 10
과거 표본7.5 / 10
모델 일치도9.9 / 15
예측 분리도12.6 / 15
데이터 신선도7.0 / 10
종목 핵심정보1.8 / 5
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME38.6%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승30.9%표본 68경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승50.0%표본 2경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승46.9%현재 이동 +0.0%
OPEN → NOW2.40 → 2.40배당 업데이트 2026-10-03 15:32:20

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
HOME
54.6%
DRAW
25.2%
AWAY
20.2%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
Botafogo SP
W · 2-0D · 1-1L · 1-3L · 1-3L · 1-0
Vila Nova
W · 2-0W · 1-0D · 1-1W · 2-0L · 5-0

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOMEDRAWAWAY
+4.0%+2.0%0.0%-2.0%-4.0%10/03 00:0210/03 03:4210/03 09:2210/03 12:2210/03 15:32HOME · 배당 2.39 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 00:02:13HOME · 배당 2.39 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 00:42:13HOME · 배당 2.39 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 01:12:19HOME · 배당 2.40 · 변동 +0.16% · 2026-10-03 01:42:14HOME · 배당 2.40 · 변동 +0.16% · 2026-10-03 02:12:14HOME · 배당 2.40 · 변동 +0.16% · 2026-10-03 02:42:15HOME · 배당 2.40 · 변동 +0.16% · 2026-10-03 03:12:14HOME · 배당 2.40 · 변동 +0.16% · 2026-10-03 03:42:14HOME · 배당 2.40 · 변동 +0.16% · 2026-10-03 04:12:13HOME · 배당 2.40 · 변동 +0.16% · 2026-10-03 04:42:15HOME · 배당 2.40 · 변동 +0.16% · 2026-10-03 05:12:15HOME · 배당 2.40 · 변동 +0.16% · 2026-10-03 05:42:15HOME · 배당 2.40 · 변동 +0.16% · 2026-10-03 06:12:14HOME · 배당 2.40 · 변동 +0.16% · 2026-10-03 09:22:17HOME · 배당 2.40 · 변동 +0.16% · 2026-10-03 09:52:17HOME · 배당 2.40 · 변동 +0.16% · 2026-10-03 10:22:17HOME · 배당 2.40 · 변동 +0.31% · 2026-10-03 10:52:18HOME · 배당 2.40 · 변동 +0.31% · 2026-10-03 11:22:17HOME · 배당 2.40 · 변동 +0.31% · 2026-10-03 11:52:18HOME · 배당 2.39 · 변동 +0.01% · 2026-10-03 12:22:20HOME · 배당 2.45 · 변동 +2.40% · 2026-10-03 12:22:21HOME · 배당 2.40 · 변동 +0.31% · 2026-10-03 12:52:15HOME · 배당 2.40 · 변동 +0.31% · 2026-10-03 13:22:18HOME · 배당 2.43 · 변동 +1.52% · 2026-10-03 13:52:17HOME · 배당 2.43 · 변동 +1.52% · 2026-10-03 14:22:16HOME · 배당 2.43 · 변동 +1.52% · 2026-10-03 14:52:19HOME · 배당 2.43 · 변동 +1.52% · 2026-10-03 15:32:20DRAW · 배당 3.05 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 00:02:13DRAW · 배당 3.05 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 00:42:13DRAW · 배당 3.05 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 01:12:19DRAW · 배당 3.05 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 01:42:14DRAW · 배당 3.05 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 02:12:14DRAW · 배당 3.05 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 02:42:15DRAW · 배당 3.05 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 03:12:14DRAW · 배당 3.05 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 03:42:14DRAW · 배당 3.05 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 04:12:13DRAW · 배당 3.05 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 04:42:15DRAW · 배당 3.05 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 05:12:15DRAW · 배당 3.05 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 05:42:15DRAW · 배당 3.05 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 06:12:14DRAW · 배당 3.05 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 09:22:17DRAW · 배당 3.05 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 09:52:17DRAW · 배당 3.05 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 10:22:17DRAW · 배당 3.03 · 변동 -0.57% · 2026-10-03 10:52:18DRAW · 배당 3.03 · 변동 -0.57% · 2026-10-03 11:22:17DRAW · 배당 3.03 · 변동 -0.57% · 2026-10-03 11:52:18DRAW · 배당 3.03 · 변동 -0.65% · 2026-10-03 12:22:20DRAW · 배당 3.05 · 변동 -0.04% · 2026-10-03 12:22:21DRAW · 배당 3.03 · 변동 -0.57% · 2026-10-03 12:52:15DRAW · 배당 3.03 · 변동 -0.57% · 2026-10-03 13:22:18DRAW · 배당 3.02 · 변동 -1.11% · 2026-10-03 13:52:17DRAW · 배당 3.02 · 변동 -1.11% · 2026-10-03 14:22:16DRAW · 배당 3.02 · 변동 -1.11% · 2026-10-03 14:52:19DRAW · 배당 3.02 · 변동 -1.11% · 2026-10-03 15:32:20AWAY · 배당 3.06 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 00:02:13AWAY · 배당 3.06 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 00:42:13AWAY · 배당 3.06 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 01:12:19AWAY · 배당 3.05 · 변동 -0.20% · 2026-10-03 01:42:14AWAY · 배당 3.05 · 변동 -0.20% · 2026-10-03 02:12:14AWAY · 배당 3.05 · 변동 -0.20% · 2026-10-03 02:42:15AWAY · 배당 3.05 · 변동 -0.20% · 2026-10-03 03:12:14AWAY · 배당 3.05 · 변동 -0.20% · 2026-10-03 03:42:14AWAY · 배당 3.05 · 변동 -0.20% · 2026-10-03 04:12:13AWAY · 배당 3.05 · 변동 -0.20% · 2026-10-03 04:42:15AWAY · 배당 3.05 · 변동 -0.20% · 2026-10-03 05:12:15AWAY · 배당 3.05 · 변동 -0.20% · 2026-10-03 05:42:15AWAY · 배당 3.05 · 변동 -0.20% · 2026-10-03 06:12:14AWAY · 배당 3.05 · 변동 -0.20% · 2026-10-03 09:22:17AWAY · 배당 3.05 · 변동 -0.20% · 2026-10-03 09:52:17AWAY · 배당 3.05 · 변동 -0.20% · 2026-10-03 10:22:17AWAY · 배당 3.06 · 변동 +0.08% · 2026-10-03 10:52:18AWAY · 배당 3.06 · 변동 +0.08% · 2026-10-03 11:22:17AWAY · 배당 3.06 · 변동 +0.08% · 2026-10-03 11:52:18AWAY · 배당 3.05 · 변동 -0.12% · 2026-10-03 12:22:20AWAY · 배당 3.10 · 변동 +1.47% · 2026-10-03 12:22:21AWAY · 배당 3.06 · 변동 +0.08% · 2026-10-03 12:52:15AWAY · 배당 3.06 · 변동 +0.08% · 2026-10-03 13:22:18AWAY · 배당 3.04 · 변동 -0.53% · 2026-10-03 13:52:17AWAY · 배당 3.04 · 변동 -0.53% · 2026-10-03 14:22:16AWAY · 배당 3.04 · 변동 -0.53% · 2026-10-03 14:52:19AWAY · 배당 3.04 · 변동 -0.53% · 2026-10-03 15:32:20
HOME27 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN2.39
→
CURRENT2.43
+1.52%ODDS DRIFTED
DRAW27 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN3.05
→
CURRENT3.02
-1.11%ODDS SHORTENED
AWAY27 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN3.06
→
CURRENT3.04
-0.53%ODDS SHORTENED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기
수집시간HOMEDRAWAWAY
2026-10-03 00:02:132.393.053.06
2026-10-03 00:42:132.393.053.06
2026-10-03 01:12:192.393.053.06
2026-10-03 01:42:142.403.053.05
2026-10-03 02:12:142.403.053.05
2026-10-03 02:42:152.403.053.05
2026-10-03 03:12:142.403.053.05
2026-10-03 03:42:142.403.053.05
2026-10-03 04:12:132.403.053.05
2026-10-03 04:42:152.403.053.05
2026-10-03 05:12:152.403.053.05
2026-10-03 05:42:152.403.053.05
2026-10-03 06:12:142.403.053.05
2026-10-03 09:22:172.403.053.05
2026-10-03 09:52:172.403.053.05
2026-10-03 10:22:172.403.053.05
2026-10-03 10:52:182.403.033.06
2026-10-03 11:22:172.403.033.06
2026-10-03 11:52:182.403.033.06
2026-10-03 12:22:202.393.033.05
2026-10-03 12:22:212.453.053.10
2026-10-03 12:52:152.403.033.06
2026-10-03 13:22:182.403.033.06
2026-10-03 13:52:172.433.023.04
2026-10-03 14:22:162.433.023.04
2026-10-03 14:52:192.433.023.04
2026-10-03 15:32:202.433.023.04

상대전적 H2H

날짜홈결과원정
2026.10.04Botafogo SP0 : 1Vila Nova
2026.06.09Vila Nova1 : 0Botafogo SP
2025.08.26Botafogo SP2 : 0Vila Nova
2025.04.21Vila Nova2 : 0Botafogo SP