경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

Serie B Brazil · Regular Season - 29

CriciumaHOME · 1.95

0 : 22026.09.23 · 종료

Operario-PRAWAY · 4.20

HOME · 현재 순위 5위 승점 47 · 28경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 8위 승점 44 · 28경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME49.6%

DRAW28.4%

AWAY22.0%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH88 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100

AI PICK HOME 39.3% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +1.8%

VALUE EDGE+1.8%

FAIR ODDS2.02

GRADEC

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION LEAN 81/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM HOME +16.8%p

HOME_AWAY HOME +25.0%p

LEAGUE_LEVEL EVEN +0.0%p

STANDING_PPG HOME +6.3%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE EVEN -2.3%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

Criciuma분석 지표Operario-PR

33.3% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 16.7%

0.83 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.25

1.17 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.75

50.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 16.7%

9.1일 휴식일비교용 지표 7.0일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

88/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본10.0 / 10

모델 일치도11.9 / 15

예측 분리도9.1 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보5.0 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME47.8%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승53.1%표본 32경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승66.7%표본 3경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승34.1%현재 이동 +14.7%

OPEN → NOW1.70 → 1.95배당 업데이트 2026-09-22 23:52:03

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

49.6%

DRAW

28.4%

AWAY

22.0%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Criciuma

L · 4-0L · 0-2W · 2-0L · 2-1L · 0-2

Operario-PR

D · 3-3W · 3-0W · 1-2D · 1-1D · 0-0

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN1.69

→

CURRENT1.95

+14.82%ODDS DRIFTED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.43

→

CURRENT3.09

-9.89%ODDS SHORTENED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN5.11

→

CURRENT4.15

-18.89%ODDS SHORTENED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-21 13:12:05	1.69	3.43	5.11
2026-09-21 13:22:05	1.69	3.43	5.11
2026-09-21 13:32:07	1.69	3.43	5.11
2026-09-21 13:42:06	1.69	3.43	5.11
2026-09-21 13:52:07	1.69	3.43	5.11
2026-09-21 14:02:07	1.69	3.43	5.11
2026-09-21 14:12:05	1.70	3.42	5.11
2026-09-21 14:22:06	1.70	3.42	5.11
2026-09-21 14:32:06	1.70	3.42	5.11
2026-09-21 14:42:04	1.70	3.42	5.11
2026-09-21 14:52:06	1.70	3.42	5.11
2026-09-21 15:02:06	1.70	3.42	5.11
2026-09-21 15:12:06	1.70	3.42	5.11
2026-09-21 15:22:06	1.70	3.42	5.11
2026-09-21 15:32:05	1.70	3.42	5.11
2026-09-21 15:42:06	1.70	3.42	5.11
2026-09-21 15:52:07	1.70	3.42	5.11
2026-09-21 16:02:05	1.70	3.42	5.11
2026-09-21 16:12:05	1.70	3.42	5.11
2026-09-21 16:22:07	1.70	3.42	5.11
2026-09-21 16:32:07	1.70	3.42	5.11
2026-09-21 16:42:07	1.70	3.42	5.11
2026-09-21 16:52:05	1.70	3.42	5.11
2026-09-21 17:02:06	1.70	3.42	5.11
2026-09-21 17:12:06	1.70	3.42	5.11
2026-09-21 17:22:06	1.70	3.42	5.11
2026-09-21 17:32:05	1.70	3.42	5.11
2026-09-21 17:42:05	1.70	3.42	5.11
2026-09-21 17:52:05	1.70	3.42	5.11
2026-09-21 18:02:04	1.70	3.42	5.11
2026-09-21 18:12:04	1.70	3.42	5.11
2026-09-21 18:22:06	1.70	3.42	5.11
2026-09-21 18:32:06	1.70	3.42	5.11
2026-09-21 18:42:05	1.70	3.38	5.04
2026-09-21 18:42:06	1.72	3.55	5.35
2026-09-21 18:52:15	1.70	3.42	5.11
2026-09-21 19:02:09	1.71	3.40	5.09
2026-09-21 19:02:10	1.70	3.43	5.13
2026-09-21 19:12:06	1.70	3.42	5.11
2026-09-21 19:22:10	1.70	3.42	5.11
2026-09-21 19:32:07	1.70	3.42	5.11
2026-09-21 19:42:06	1.70	3.40	5.12
2026-09-21 19:42:07	1.70	3.45	5.10
2026-09-21 19:52:06	1.70	3.42	5.11
2026-09-21 20:02:09	1.70	3.42	5.11
2026-09-21 20:12:07	1.73	3.38	4.93
2026-09-21 20:22:08	1.73	3.38	4.93
2026-09-21 20:32:14	1.73	3.38	4.93
2026-09-21 20:42:09	1.73	3.38	4.93
2026-09-21 20:52:08	1.73	3.38	4.93
2026-09-21 21:02:08	1.73	3.38	4.93
2026-09-21 21:12:07	1.73	3.38	4.93
2026-09-21 21:22:13	1.73	3.38	4.93
2026-09-21 21:32:15	1.73	3.38	4.93
2026-09-21 21:42:07	1.73	3.38	4.93
2026-09-21 21:52:11	1.73	3.38	4.93
2026-09-21 22:02:06	1.73	3.38	4.93
2026-09-21 22:12:06	1.73	3.38	4.93
2026-09-21 22:22:27	1.73	3.38	4.93
2026-09-21 22:32:17	1.73	3.38	4.93
2026-09-21 22:52:08	1.73	3.38	4.93
2026-09-21 23:02:12	1.73	3.38	4.93
2026-09-21 23:12:13	1.83	3.24	4.50
2026-09-21 23:22:11	1.83	3.24	4.50
2026-09-21 23:32:10	1.83	3.24	4.50
2026-09-21 23:42:09	1.83	3.20	4.44
2026-09-21 23:42:10	1.84	3.38	4.71
2026-09-21 23:52:08	1.82	3.22	4.54
2026-09-21 23:52:09	1.84	3.27	4.43
2026-09-22 22:32:03	1.95	3.09	4.15
2026-09-22 22:42:02	1.95	3.09	4.15
2026-09-22 22:52:02	1.95	3.09	4.15
2026-09-22 23:02:01	1.91	3.09	4.16
2026-09-22 23:02:02	1.99	3.09	4.13
2026-09-22 23:12:04	1.95	3.09	4.15
2026-09-22 23:22:04	1.95	3.09	4.15
2026-09-22 23:32:02	1.93	3.10	4.19
2026-09-22 23:32:03	1.97	3.07	4.06
2026-09-22 23:42:02	1.95	3.09	4.15
2026-09-22 23:52:03	1.95	3.09	4.15

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.23	Criciuma	0 : 2	Operario-PR
2026.05.25	Operario-PR	1 : 1	Criciuma
2025.08.02	Operario-PR	1 : 0	Criciuma
2025.04.05	Criciuma	1 : 2	Operario-PR