경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

Serie B Brazil · Regular Season - 27

Vila NovaHOME · 2.01

2 : 02026.09.11 · 종료

GoiasAWAY · 4.16

HOME · 현재 순위 5위 승점 44 · 26경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 13위 승점 36 · 26경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME67.5%

DRAW21.0%

AWAY11.4%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH87 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100

AI PICK HOME 46.5% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +21.3%

VALUE EDGE+21.3%

FAIR ODDS1.48

GRADES

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION STRONG 100/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM HOME +42.1%p

HOME_AWAY HOME +38.9%p

LEAGUE_LEVEL EVEN +0.0%p

STANDING_PPG HOME +19.1%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE HOME +10.8%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

Vila Nova분석 지표Goias

50.0% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 41.7%

1.25 평균 득점높을수록 유리 0.92

0.75 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.08

66.7% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 20.0%

6.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 5.1일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

87/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본10.0 / 10

모델 일치도10.5 / 15

예측 분리도15.0 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보5.0 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME46.2%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승38.1%표본 21경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승50.0%표본 2경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승46.9%현재 이동 -0.7%

OPEN → NOW2.02 → 2.01배당 업데이트 2026-09-10 23:52:07

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

67.5%

DRAW

21.0%

AWAY

11.4%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Vila Nova

L · 5-0W · 2-0D · 0-0W · 6-0W · 0-2

Goias

L · 0-1W · 2-1D · 1-1L · 0-1L · 1-0

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN2.06

→

CURRENT2.01

-2.35%ODDS SHORTENED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.11

→

CURRENT2.94

-5.60%ODDS SHORTENED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.86

→

CURRENT4.16

+7.79%ODDS DRIFTED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-10 11:32:09	2.06	3.11	3.86
2026-09-10 11:42:08	2.02	3.07	3.87
2026-09-10 11:52:10	2.02	3.07	3.87
2026-09-10 12:02:10	2.02	3.07	3.87
2026-09-10 12:12:09	2.02	3.07	3.87
2026-09-10 12:22:09	2.02	3.07	3.87
2026-09-10 12:32:09	2.02	3.07	3.87
2026-09-10 12:42:08	2.02	3.07	3.87
2026-09-10 12:52:08	2.02	3.07	3.87
2026-09-10 13:02:10	2.02	3.07	3.87
2026-09-10 13:12:08	2.02	3.07	3.87
2026-09-10 13:22:09	2.02	3.07	3.87
2026-09-10 13:32:09	2.02	3.07	3.87
2026-09-10 13:42:07	2.02	3.07	3.87
2026-09-10 13:52:08	2.02	3.06	3.86
2026-09-10 13:52:09	2.07	3.20	3.90
2026-09-10 14:02:09	2.02	3.07	3.87
2026-09-10 14:12:08	2.03	3.03	3.95
2026-09-10 14:22:09	2.03	3.03	3.95
2026-09-10 14:32:09	2.03	3.03	3.95
2026-09-10 14:42:08	2.03	3.03	3.95
2026-09-10 14:52:10	2.03	3.03	3.95
2026-09-10 15:02:10	2.03	3.03	3.95
2026-09-10 15:12:08	2.02	3.01	3.91
2026-09-10 15:12:09	2.05	3.08	4.04
2026-09-10 15:22:09	2.00	3.15	3.95
2026-09-10 15:22:10	2.03	3.02	3.95
2026-09-10 15:32:10	2.02	3.04	3.96
2026-09-10 15:32:11	2.04	3.02	3.93
2026-09-10 15:42:08	2.03	3.03	3.95
2026-09-10 15:52:10	2.03	3.03	3.95
2026-09-10 16:02:10	2.03	3.03	3.95
2026-09-10 16:12:09	2.03	3.03	3.95
2026-09-10 16:22:11	2.03	3.03	3.95
2026-09-10 16:32:10	2.03	3.03	3.95
2026-09-10 16:42:09	2.03	3.03	3.95
2026-09-10 16:52:10	2.03	3.03	3.95
2026-09-10 17:02:09	2.03	3.03	3.95
2026-09-10 17:12:07	2.03	3.03	3.95
2026-09-10 17:22:09	2.03	3.04	3.95
2026-09-10 17:32:10	2.03	3.04	3.95
2026-09-10 17:42:08	2.03	3.04	3.95
2026-09-10 17:52:08	2.03	3.04	3.95
2026-09-10 18:02:11	2.03	3.04	3.95
2026-09-10 18:12:09	2.03	3.04	3.95
2026-09-10 18:22:09	2.03	3.04	3.95
2026-09-10 18:32:09	2.03	3.04	3.95
2026-09-10 18:42:08	2.03	3.04	3.95
2026-09-10 18:52:10	2.03	3.04	3.95
2026-09-10 19:02:10	2.03	3.04	3.95
2026-09-10 19:12:08	2.03	3.04	3.95
2026-09-10 19:22:09	2.03	3.04	3.95
2026-09-10 19:32:09	2.03	3.04	3.95
2026-09-10 19:42:08	2.03	3.04	3.95
2026-09-10 19:52:09	2.02	3.02	3.91
2026-09-10 19:52:10	2.05	3.08	4.04
2026-09-10 20:02:09	2.03	3.04	3.95
2026-09-10 20:12:09	2.03	3.04	3.95
2026-09-10 20:22:09	2.03	3.04	3.95
2026-09-10 20:32:08	2.03	3.04	3.95
2026-09-10 20:42:08	2.03	3.04	3.95
2026-09-10 20:52:10	2.03	3.04	3.95
2026-09-10 21:02:10	2.03	3.04	3.95
2026-09-10 21:12:08	2.03	3.04	3.95
2026-09-10 21:22:10	2.03	3.04	3.95
2026-09-10 21:32:09	2.03	3.04	3.95
2026-09-10 21:42:09	2.03	3.04	3.95
2026-09-10 21:52:10	2.03	3.04	3.95
2026-09-10 22:02:09	2.03	3.04	3.95
2026-09-10 22:12:08	2.03	3.04	3.95
2026-09-10 22:22:10	2.03	3.04	3.95
2026-09-10 22:32:09	2.03	3.04	3.95
2026-09-10 22:42:08	2.03	3.04	3.95
2026-09-10 22:52:09	2.03	3.04	3.95
2026-09-10 23:02:10	2.03	3.04	3.95
2026-09-10 23:12:09	2.03	3.04	3.95
2026-09-10 23:22:08	2.01	2.94	4.16
2026-09-10 23:32:07	2.01	2.94	4.16
2026-09-10 23:42:09	2.01	2.94	4.16
2026-09-10 23:52:07	2.01	2.94	4.16

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.11	Vila Nova	2 : 0	Goias
2026.05.10	Goias	1 : 0	Vila Nova
2026.02.02	Goias	1 : 0	Vila Nova
2025.08.17	Vila Nova	2 : 0	Goias
2025.04.18	Goias	2 : 2	Vila Nova