경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

Serie B Brazil · Regular Season - 26

Athletic ClubHOME · 2.56

5 : 02026.09.05 · 종료

Vila NovaAWAY · 2.75

HOME · 현재 순위 13위 승점 34 · 25경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 2위 승점 44 · 25경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME26.5%

DRAW32.5%

AWAY41.0%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH82 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100

AI PICK AWAY 36.8% CAL

VALUE PICK AWAY +7.6%

VALUE EDGE+7.6%

FAIR ODDS2.44

GRADEA

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION LEAN 76/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM HOME +6.6%p

HOME_AWAY HOME +2.8%p

LEAGUE_LEVEL EVEN +0.0%p

STANDING_PPG AWAY -25.2%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE AWAY -6.1%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

Athletic Club분석 지표Vila Nova

33.3% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 58.3%

1.33 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.42

1.58 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 0.33

40.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 40.0%

7.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 5.1일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

82/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본10.0 / 10

모델 일치도9.0 / 15

예측 분리도3.7 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보5.0 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME35.9%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승32.0%표본 100경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승50.0%표본 2경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승46.2%현재 이동 +0.4%

OPEN → NOW2.55 → 2.56배당 업데이트 2026-09-04 23:52:14

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

26.5%

DRAW

32.5%

AWAY

41.0%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Athletic Club

L · 2-1L · 1-4L · 0-2W · 1-3W · 2-0

Vila Nova

W · 2-0D · 0-0W · 6-0W · 0-2L · 0-1

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN2.53

→

CURRENT2.60

+3.01%ODDS DRIFTED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.02

→

CURRENT3.00

-0.51%ODDS SHORTENED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN2.84

→

CURRENT2.77

-2.49%ODDS SHORTENED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-04 01:52:13	2.53	3.02	2.84
2026-09-04 02:02:12	2.53	3.02	2.84
2026-09-04 02:12:12	2.53	3.02	2.84
2026-09-04 02:22:13	2.53	3.02	2.84
2026-09-04 02:32:12	2.53	3.02	2.84
2026-09-04 02:42:11	2.53	3.02	2.84
2026-09-04 02:52:13	2.53	3.02	2.84
2026-09-04 03:02:12	2.53	3.02	2.84
2026-09-04 03:12:12	2.53	3.02	2.84
2026-09-04 03:22:13	2.53	3.02	2.84
2026-09-04 03:32:12	2.53	3.02	2.84
2026-09-04 03:42:11	2.52	3.04	2.86
2026-09-04 03:42:12	2.54	2.99	2.82
2026-09-04 03:52:12	2.53	3.02	2.84
2026-09-04 04:12:12	2.53	3.02	2.84
2026-09-04 04:32:12	2.53	3.02	2.84
2026-09-04 04:52:13	2.53	3.02	2.84
2026-09-04 05:12:12	2.53	3.02	2.84
2026-09-04 05:32:12	2.53	3.02	2.84
2026-09-04 05:52:14	2.53	3.02	2.84
2026-09-04 06:12:11	2.53	3.02	2.84
2026-09-04 06:32:12	2.53	3.02	2.84
2026-09-04 06:52:13	2.52	3.02	2.86
2026-09-04 06:52:14	2.53	3.02	2.84
2026-09-04 07:12:13	2.53	3.02	2.84
2026-09-04 07:32:11	2.53	3.02	2.84
2026-09-04 07:52:13	2.53	3.01	2.84
2026-09-04 08:12:13	2.53	3.01	2.84
2026-09-04 08:32:13	2.51	3.02	2.86
2026-09-04 08:32:14	2.54	3.00	2.83
2026-09-04 08:52:13	2.53	3.01	2.84
2026-09-04 09:12:13	2.53	3.01	2.84
2026-09-04 09:32:14	2.53	3.01	2.84
2026-09-04 09:52:13	2.56	3.00	2.88
2026-09-04 09:52:14	2.53	3.01	2.84
2026-09-04 10:12:11	2.53	3.01	2.84
2026-09-04 10:32:13	2.53	3.01	2.84
2026-09-04 10:52:12	2.51	2.99	2.83
2026-09-04 10:52:13	2.58	3.03	2.88
2026-09-04 11:12:12	2.53	3.00	2.84
2026-09-04 11:32:12	2.53	3.00	2.84
2026-09-04 11:52:13	2.53	3.00	2.84
2026-09-04 12:12:12	2.53	3.00	2.84
2026-09-04 12:32:14	2.53	3.00	2.84
2026-09-04 12:52:13	2.53	3.00	2.84
2026-09-04 13:12:12	2.53	3.00	2.84
2026-09-04 13:32:12	2.53	3.00	2.84
2026-09-04 13:52:13	2.53	3.00	2.84
2026-09-04 14:12:11	2.53	3.00	2.84
2026-09-04 14:32:13	2.53	2.99	2.83
2026-09-04 14:32:14	2.60	3.10	2.90
2026-09-04 14:52:13	2.53	3.00	2.84
2026-09-04 15:12:12	2.53	3.00	2.84
2026-09-04 15:32:13	2.53	3.00	2.84
2026-09-04 15:52:13	2.53	3.00	2.84
2026-09-04 16:12:11	2.53	3.00	2.84
2026-09-04 16:32:12	2.53	3.00	2.84
2026-09-04 16:52:13	2.53	3.00	2.84
2026-09-04 17:12:13	2.53	3.00	2.84
2026-09-04 17:32:13	2.53	3.00	2.84
2026-09-04 17:52:14	2.53	3.00	2.84
2026-09-04 18:12:12	2.53	3.00	2.84
2026-09-04 18:32:13	2.53	3.00	2.84
2026-09-04 18:52:13	2.53	3.00	2.84
2026-09-04 19:12:13	2.53	3.00	2.84
2026-09-04 19:32:12	2.53	3.00	2.84
2026-09-04 19:52:14	2.53	3.00	2.83
2026-09-04 20:12:12	2.53	3.00	2.83
2026-09-04 20:32:13	2.53	3.00	2.83
2026-09-04 20:52:14	2.53	3.00	2.83
2026-09-04 21:12:13	2.53	3.00	2.83
2026-09-04 21:32:12	2.53	3.00	2.83
2026-09-04 21:52:14	2.53	3.00	2.83
2026-09-04 22:12:12	2.53	3.00	2.83
2026-09-04 22:32:13	2.53	3.00	2.83
2026-09-04 22:52:15	2.60	3.00	2.77
2026-09-04 23:12:15	2.59	3.01	2.79
2026-09-04 23:12:16	2.61	3.00	2.76
2026-09-04 23:32:12	2.60	3.00	2.77
2026-09-04 23:52:14	2.60	3.00	2.77

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.05	Athletic Club	5 : 0	Vila Nova
2026.05.05	Vila Nova	1 : 1	Athletic Club
2025.09.09	Vila Nova	1 : 1	Athletic Club
2025.05.07	Athletic Club	0 : 1	Vila Nova