경기 상세 분석
종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질
Eliteserien
Norway · Regular Season - 22
ValerengaHOME · 1.95
1 : 12026.09.20 · 종료
FredrikstadAWAY · 3.40
HOME · 현재 순위
12위
승점 22
· 20경기
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위
7위
승점 27
· 20경기
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME29.2%
DRAW19.5%
AWAY51.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH85 / 100
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME47.9%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승48.4%표본 184경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승33.3%표본 3경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승44.6%현재 이동 +2.6%
OPEN → NOW1.90 → 1.95배당 업데이트 2026-09-20 23:52:35
확률 구성
배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
최근 경기력
현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
ValerengaW · 1-4L · 2-0D · 2-2L · 3-4D · 5-5
FredrikstadW · 0-1D · 1-1L · 1-2W · 1-4W · 1-0
배당 변화 히스토리
OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOMEDRAWAWAY
HOME61 SNAPSHOTS
+3.54%ODDS DRIFTED
DRAW61 SNAPSHOTS
+0.18%ODDS DRIFTED
AWAY61 SNAPSHOTS
-4.87%ODDS SHORTENED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기
| 수집시간 | HOME | DRAW | AWAY |
|---|
| 2026-09-19 00:15:09 | 1.88 | 3.78 | 3.54 |
| 2026-09-20 00:12:40 | 1.95 | 3.78 | 3.40 |
| 2026-09-20 00:42:51 | 1.95 | 3.78 | 3.40 |
| 2026-09-20 01:12:36 | 1.91 | 3.60 | 3.30 |
| 2026-09-20 01:12:37 | 1.96 | 3.81 | 3.42 |
| 2026-09-20 01:42:20 | 1.95 | 3.79 | 3.41 |
| 2026-09-20 02:12:37 | 1.93 | 3.71 | 3.37 |
| 2026-09-20 02:12:38 | 2.00 | 3.94 | 3.47 |
| 2026-09-20 02:42:21 | 1.95 | 3.79 | 3.41 |
| 2026-09-20 03:12:39 | 1.93 | 3.70 | 3.40 |
| 2026-09-20 03:12:40 | 1.96 | 3.83 | 3.41 |
| 2026-09-20 03:42:12 | 1.95 | 3.79 | 3.41 |
| 2026-09-20 04:12:31 | 1.95 | 3.79 | 3.41 |
| 2026-09-20 04:42:07 | 1.95 | 3.79 | 3.41 |
| 2026-09-20 05:12:29 | 1.95 | 3.79 | 3.41 |
| 2026-09-20 05:42:19 | 1.95 | 3.79 | 3.41 |
| 2026-09-20 06:12:32 | 1.95 | 3.79 | 3.41 |
| 2026-09-20 06:42:43 | 1.91 | 3.60 | 3.30 |
| 2026-09-20 06:42:44 | 1.96 | 3.82 | 3.43 |
| 2026-09-20 07:12:30 | 1.93 | 3.72 | 3.41 |
| 2026-09-20 07:12:31 | 1.97 | 3.86 | 3.40 |
| 2026-09-20 07:52:22 | 1.95 | 3.75 | 3.37 |
| 2026-09-20 08:32:43 | 1.95 | 3.75 | 3.37 |
| 2026-09-20 09:12:15 | 1.95 | 3.75 | 3.37 |
| 2026-09-20 09:52:15 | 1.95 | 3.75 | 3.37 |
| 2026-09-20 10:32:22 | 1.96 | 3.74 | 3.36 |
| 2026-09-20 10:32:23 | 2.00 | 3.65 | 3.40 |
| 2026-09-20 11:12:14 | 1.96 | 3.80 | 3.39 |
| 2026-09-20 11:12:15 | 1.98 | 3.60 | 3.30 |
| 2026-09-20 11:52:09 | 1.97 | 3.73 | 3.36 |
| 2026-09-20 12:32:36 | 1.97 | 3.73 | 3.36 |
| 2026-09-20 13:12:11 | 1.97 | 3.73 | 3.36 |
| 2026-09-20 13:52:19 | 1.95 | 3.70 | 3.25 |
| 2026-09-20 13:52:20 | 1.99 | 3.76 | 3.32 |
| 2026-09-20 14:32:18 | 1.98 | 3.75 | 3.31 |
| 2026-09-20 15:12:20 | 1.97 | 3.72 | 3.32 |
| 2026-09-20 15:12:21 | 1.99 | 3.76 | 3.31 |
| 2026-09-20 15:42:13 | 1.98 | 3.75 | 3.31 |
| 2026-09-20 16:12:22 | 1.98 | 3.75 | 3.31 |
| 2026-09-20 16:42:38 | 1.98 | 3.77 | 3.33 |
| 2026-09-20 17:12:49 | 1.98 | 3.73 | 3.28 |
| 2026-09-20 17:12:50 | 1.98 | 3.78 | 3.34 |
| 2026-09-20 17:42:34 | 1.96 | 3.82 | 3.35 |
| 2026-09-20 17:42:35 | 2.01 | 3.67 | 3.29 |
| 2026-09-20 18:12:42 | 1.95 | 3.79 | 3.36 |
| 2026-09-20 18:12:43 | 2.00 | 3.75 | 3.30 |
| 2026-09-20 18:52:58 | 1.98 | 3.77 | 3.33 |
| 2026-09-20 19:32:52 | 1.95 | 3.77 | 3.33 |
| 2026-09-20 19:32:53 | 2.01 | 3.76 | 3.31 |
| 2026-09-20 20:12:25 | 1.95 | 3.70 | 3.25 |
| 2026-09-20 20:12:26 | 1.98 | 3.78 | 3.33 |
| 2026-09-20 20:52:47 | 1.98 | 3.77 | 3.32 |
| 2026-09-20 21:22:29 | 1.98 | 3.77 | 3.32 |
| 2026-09-20 21:52:40 | 1.97 | 3.77 | 3.31 |
| 2026-09-20 21:52:41 | 2.01 | 3.76 | 3.37 |
| 2026-09-20 22:22:48 | 1.96 | 3.82 | 3.35 |
| 2026-09-20 22:22:49 | 2.01 | 3.67 | 3.27 |
| 2026-09-20 22:52:42 | 1.95 | 3.79 | 3.36 |
| 2026-09-20 23:22:37 | 1.93 | 3.75 | 3.37 |
| 2026-09-20 23:22:38 | 1.98 | 3.84 | 3.36 |
| 2026-09-20 23:52:34 | 1.95 | 3.79 | 3.36 |
상대전적 H2H
| 날짜 | 홈 | 결과 | 원정 |
|---|
| 2026.09.20 | Valerenga | 1 : 1 | Fredrikstad |
| 2026.07.04 | Valerenga | 3 : 1 | Fredrikstad |
| 2026.04.13 | Fredrikstad | 1 : 1 | Valerenga |
| 2025.09.24 | Valerenga | 1 : 2 | Fredrikstad |
| 2025.07.06 | Valerenga | 1 : 1 | Fredrikstad |
| 2025.04.10 | Fredrikstad | 2 : 0 | Valerenga |