LIVE 30 오늘 287경기

경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

USL Championship USA · Group Stage
Orange County SCHOME · 1.90
1 : 22026.10.04 · 종료
Monterey BayAWAY · 3.41
HOME · 현재 순위 7위 승점 39 · 27경기
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위 12위 승점 21 · 27경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME45.9%
DRAW24.0%
AWAY30.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH89 / 100
축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 94/100
AI PICK HOME 39.3% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +3.3%
VALUE EDGE+3.3%
FAIR ODDS3.33
GRADEC
FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION LEAN 70/100 · LOW RISK
RECENT_FORM HOME +28.9%p
HOME_AWAY HOME +30.6%p
LEAGUE_LEVEL EVEN +0.0%p
ATTACK_DEFENCE EVEN -1.9%p
INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p
H2H AWAY -33.3%p
• STANDING_PPG DATA UNAVAILABLE• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• SEASON_STATS DATA UNAVAILABLE
Orange County SC분석 지표Monterey Bay
25.0% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 0.0%
1.00 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.25
2.25 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 2.25
25.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 0.0%
7.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 7.0일
API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

89/100 HIGH
데이터 커버리지18.7 / 20
시장/배당15.0 / 15
최근 전력10.0 / 10
과거 표본7.5 / 10
모델 일치도13.9 / 15
예측 분리도6.8 / 15
데이터 신선도8.5 / 10
종목 핵심정보2.8 / 5
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME48.0%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승45.6%표본 160경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승42.9%표본 7경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승47.4%현재 이동 -2.6%
OPEN → NOW1.95 → 1.90배당 업데이트 2026-10-04 15:32:04

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
HOME
45.9%
DRAW
24.0%
AWAY
30.1%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
Orange County SC
W · 1-0L · 6-0L · 0-2D · 1-1D · 1-1
Monterey Bay
L · 2-3L · 1-0D · 1-1D · 1-1L · 3-1

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOMEDRAWAWAY
+6.0%+3.0%0.0%-3.0%-6.0%10/03 00:1510/04 10:3210/04 12:1210/04 13:5210/04 15:32HOME · 배당 1.93 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 00:15:02HOME · 배당 1.88 · 변동 -2.74% · 2026-10-04 09:02:08HOME · 배당 1.88 · 변동 -2.74% · 2026-10-04 09:22:08HOME · 배당 1.85 · 변동 -4.36% · 2026-10-04 09:52:05HOME · 배당 1.89 · 변동 -2.51% · 2026-10-04 09:52:06HOME · 배당 1.88 · 변동 -2.74% · 2026-10-04 10:12:02HOME · 배당 1.91 · 변동 -1.38% · 2026-10-04 10:32:06HOME · 배당 1.91 · 변동 -1.33% · 2026-10-04 10:52:07HOME · 배당 1.90 · 변동 -1.77% · 2026-10-04 10:52:08HOME · 배당 1.91 · 변동 -1.38% · 2026-10-04 11:12:03HOME · 배당 1.91 · 변동 -1.38% · 2026-10-04 11:32:08HOME · 배당 1.91 · 변동 -1.38% · 2026-10-04 11:52:05HOME · 배당 1.91 · 변동 -1.38% · 2026-10-04 12:12:04HOME · 배당 1.91 · 변동 -1.33% · 2026-10-04 12:32:16HOME · 배당 1.90 · 변동 -1.77% · 2026-10-04 12:32:17HOME · 배당 1.91 · 변동 -1.38% · 2026-10-04 12:52:04HOME · 배당 1.91 · 변동 -1.38% · 2026-10-04 13:12:06HOME · 배당 1.91 · 변동 -1.38% · 2026-10-04 13:32:06HOME · 배당 1.91 · 변동 -1.38% · 2026-10-04 13:52:05HOME · 배당 1.91 · 변동 -1.38% · 2026-10-04 14:12:02HOME · 배당 1.91 · 변동 -1.38% · 2026-10-04 14:32:04HOME · 배당 1.87 · 변동 -3.50% · 2026-10-04 14:52:05HOME · 배당 1.93 · 변동 -0.12% · 2026-10-04 14:52:06HOME · 배당 1.91 · 변동 -1.38% · 2026-10-04 15:12:02HOME · 배당 1.91 · 변동 -1.38% · 2026-10-04 15:32:04DRAW · 배당 3.59 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 00:15:02DRAW · 배당 3.66 · 변동 +1.94% · 2026-10-04 09:02:08DRAW · 배당 3.66 · 변동 +1.94% · 2026-10-04 09:22:08DRAW · 배당 3.50 · 변동 -2.55% · 2026-10-04 09:52:05DRAW · 배당 3.68 · 변동 +2.59% · 2026-10-04 09:52:06DRAW · 배당 3.66 · 변동 +1.94% · 2026-10-04 10:12:02DRAW · 배당 3.64 · 변동 +1.32% · 2026-10-04 10:32:06DRAW · 배당 3.65 · 변동 +1.67% · 2026-10-04 10:52:07DRAW · 배당 3.55 · 변동 -1.15% · 2026-10-04 10:52:08DRAW · 배당 3.64 · 변동 +1.32% · 2026-10-04 11:12:03DRAW · 배당 3.64 · 변동 +1.32% · 2026-10-04 11:32:08DRAW · 배당 3.64 · 변동 +1.32% · 2026-10-04 11:52:05DRAW · 배당 3.64 · 변동 +1.32% · 2026-10-04 12:12:04DRAW · 배당 3.65 · 변동 +1.67% · 2026-10-04 12:32:16DRAW · 배당 3.55 · 변동 -1.15% · 2026-10-04 12:32:17DRAW · 배당 3.64 · 변동 +1.32% · 2026-10-04 12:52:04DRAW · 배당 3.64 · 변동 +1.32% · 2026-10-04 13:12:06DRAW · 배당 3.64 · 변동 +1.32% · 2026-10-04 13:32:06DRAW · 배당 3.64 · 변동 +1.32% · 2026-10-04 13:52:05DRAW · 배당 3.64 · 변동 +1.32% · 2026-10-04 14:12:02DRAW · 배당 3.64 · 변동 +1.32% · 2026-10-04 14:32:04DRAW · 배당 3.50 · 변동 -2.55% · 2026-10-04 14:52:05DRAW · 배당 3.72 · 변동 +3.64% · 2026-10-04 14:52:06DRAW · 배당 3.64 · 변동 +1.32% · 2026-10-04 15:12:02DRAW · 배당 3.64 · 변동 +1.32% · 2026-10-04 15:32:04AWAY · 배당 3.35 · 변동 +0.00% · 2026-10-03 00:15:02AWAY · 배당 3.51 · 변동 +4.81% · 2026-10-04 09:02:08AWAY · 배당 3.51 · 변동 +4.81% · 2026-10-04 09:22:08AWAY · 배당 3.40 · 변동 +1.45% · 2026-10-04 09:52:05AWAY · 배당 3.53 · 변동 +5.29% · 2026-10-04 09:52:06AWAY · 배당 3.51 · 변동 +4.81% · 2026-10-04 10:12:02AWAY · 배당 3.43 · 변동 +2.42% · 2026-10-04 10:32:06AWAY · 배당 3.44 · 변동 +2.56% · 2026-10-04 10:52:07AWAY · 배당 3.40 · 변동 +1.45% · 2026-10-04 10:52:08AWAY · 배당 3.43 · 변동 +2.42% · 2026-10-04 11:12:03AWAY · 배당 3.43 · 변동 +2.42% · 2026-10-04 11:32:08AWAY · 배당 3.43 · 변동 +2.42% · 2026-10-04 11:52:05AWAY · 배당 3.43 · 변동 +2.42% · 2026-10-04 12:12:04AWAY · 배당 3.44 · 변동 +2.56% · 2026-10-04 12:32:16AWAY · 배당 3.40 · 변동 +1.45% · 2026-10-04 12:32:17AWAY · 배당 3.43 · 변동 +2.42% · 2026-10-04 12:52:04AWAY · 배당 3.43 · 변동 +2.42% · 2026-10-04 13:12:06AWAY · 배당 3.43 · 변동 +2.42% · 2026-10-04 13:32:06AWAY · 배당 3.43 · 변동 +2.42% · 2026-10-04 13:52:05AWAY · 배당 3.43 · 변동 +2.42% · 2026-10-04 14:12:02AWAY · 배당 3.43 · 변동 +2.42% · 2026-10-04 14:32:04AWAY · 배당 3.37 · 변동 +0.65% · 2026-10-04 14:52:05AWAY · 배당 3.47 · 변동 +3.48% · 2026-10-04 14:52:06AWAY · 배당 3.43 · 변동 +2.42% · 2026-10-04 15:12:02AWAY · 배당 3.43 · 변동 +2.42% · 2026-10-04 15:32:04
HOME25 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN1.93
→
CURRENT1.91
-1.38%ODDS SHORTENED
DRAW25 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN3.59
→
CURRENT3.64
+1.32%ODDS DRIFTED
AWAY25 SNAPSHOTS
OPEN3.35
→
CURRENT3.43
+2.42%ODDS DRIFTED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기
수집시간HOMEDRAWAWAY
2026-10-03 00:15:021.933.593.35
2026-10-04 09:02:081.883.663.51
2026-10-04 09:22:081.883.663.51
2026-10-04 09:52:051.853.503.40
2026-10-04 09:52:061.893.683.53
2026-10-04 10:12:021.883.663.51
2026-10-04 10:32:061.913.643.43
2026-10-04 10:52:071.913.653.44
2026-10-04 10:52:081.903.553.40
2026-10-04 11:12:031.913.643.43
2026-10-04 11:32:081.913.643.43
2026-10-04 11:52:051.913.643.43
2026-10-04 12:12:041.913.643.43
2026-10-04 12:32:161.913.653.44
2026-10-04 12:32:171.903.553.40
2026-10-04 12:52:041.913.643.43
2026-10-04 13:12:061.913.643.43
2026-10-04 13:32:061.913.643.43
2026-10-04 13:52:051.913.643.43
2026-10-04 14:12:021.913.643.43
2026-10-04 14:32:041.913.643.43
2026-10-04 14:52:051.873.503.37
2026-10-04 14:52:061.933.723.47
2026-10-04 15:12:021.913.643.43
2026-10-04 15:32:041.913.643.43

상대전적 H2H

날짜홈결과원정
2026.10.04Orange County SC1 : 2Monterey Bay
2026.07.26Monterey Bay1 : 2Orange County SC
2025.07.12Monterey Bay2 : 1Orange County SC
2025.03.23Orange County SC0 : 3Monterey Bay