경기 상세 분석
종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질
USL Championship
USA · Group Stage
LexingtonHOME · 1.53
6 : 02026.09.20 · 종료
Orange County SCAWAY · 5.05
HOME · 현재 순위
8위
승점 34
· 24경기
LEAGUE
STANDING
AWAY · 현재 순위
6위
승점 36
· 24경기
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME41.1%
DRAW22.6%
AWAY36.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH88 / 100
시장 Fair 확률 · HOME59.2%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거
유사 배당 실제 홈승57.3%표본 124경기
리그 동일패턴 홈승100.0%표본 1경기
배당이동 패턴 홈승47.5%현재 이동 -2.5%
OPEN → NOW1.57 → 1.53배당 업데이트 2026-09-19 23:32:15
확률 구성
배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.
최근 경기력
현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.
LexingtonW · 1-4L · 3-2L · 0-1L · 2-1W · 2-0
Orange County SCL · 0-2D · 1-1D · 1-1L · 1-5L · 2-3
배당 변화 히스토리
OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교
HOMEDRAWAWAY
HOME60 SNAPSHOTS
-0.36%ODDS SHORTENED
DRAW60 SNAPSHOTS
+10.53%ODDS DRIFTED
AWAY60 SNAPSHOTS
+11.85%ODDS DRIFTED
원본 배당 히스토리 보기
| 수집시간 | HOME | DRAW | AWAY |
|---|
| 2026-09-18 00:15:05 | 1.57 | 3.91 | 4.77 |
| 2026-09-19 00:12:05 | 1.57 | 3.91 | 4.77 |
| 2026-09-19 00:42:29 | 1.56 | 3.81 | 4.70 |
| 2026-09-19 00:42:30 | 1.57 | 3.98 | 4.83 |
| 2026-09-19 01:12:12 | 1.57 | 3.91 | 4.77 |
| 2026-09-19 01:42:20 | 1.57 | 3.78 | 4.68 |
| 2026-09-19 01:42:21 | 1.56 | 3.96 | 4.81 |
| 2026-09-19 02:12:13 | 1.56 | 3.92 | 4.80 |
| 2026-09-19 02:12:14 | 1.58 | 3.89 | 4.72 |
| 2026-09-19 02:42:21 | 1.57 | 3.78 | 4.68 |
| 2026-09-19 02:42:22 | 1.56 | 3.96 | 4.81 |
| 2026-09-19 03:12:05 | 1.57 | 3.91 | 4.77 |
| 2026-09-19 03:42:08 | 1.57 | 3.91 | 4.77 |
| 2026-09-19 04:12:04 | 1.57 | 3.91 | 4.77 |
| 2026-09-19 04:52:11 | 1.57 | 3.78 | 4.68 |
| 2026-09-19 04:52:12 | 1.56 | 3.96 | 4.81 |
| 2026-09-19 05:32:11 | 1.57 | 3.91 | 4.77 |
| 2026-09-19 06:12:11 | 1.57 | 3.91 | 4.77 |
| 2026-09-19 06:52:11 | 1.57 | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| 2026-09-19 06:52:12 | 1.57 | 3.93 | 4.80 |
| 2026-09-19 07:32:13 | 1.57 | 3.91 | 4.77 |
| 2026-09-19 08:12:12 | 1.57 | 3.80 | 4.60 |
| 2026-09-19 08:12:13 | 1.57 | 3.93 | 4.80 |
| 2026-09-19 08:52:10 | 1.56 | 3.91 | 4.80 |
| 2026-09-19 08:52:11 | 1.60 | 3.90 | 4.60 |
| 2026-09-19 09:32:12 | 1.57 | 3.91 | 4.77 |
| 2026-09-19 10:12:05 | 1.57 | 3.91 | 4.77 |
| 2026-09-19 10:52:08 | 1.54 | 3.97 | 5.07 |
| 2026-09-19 11:32:14 | 1.54 | 3.97 | 5.07 |
| 2026-09-19 12:12:06 | 1.54 | 3.97 | 5.07 |
| 2026-09-19 12:52:25 | 1.52 | 3.91 | 5.07 |
| 2026-09-19 12:52:26 | 1.56 | 4.06 | 5.07 |
| 2026-09-19 13:32:18 | 1.52 | 3.89 | 4.96 |
| 2026-09-19 13:32:19 | 1.55 | 4.04 | 5.18 |
| 2026-09-19 14:12:08 | 1.54 | 3.80 | 4.90 |
| 2026-09-19 14:12:09 | 1.53 | 4.02 | 5.13 |
| 2026-09-19 14:52:19 | 1.52 | 3.89 | 4.96 |
| 2026-09-19 14:52:20 | 1.55 | 4.04 | 5.18 |
| 2026-09-19 15:32:19 | 1.53 | 3.97 | 5.14 |
| 2026-09-19 15:32:20 | 1.60 | 3.90 | 4.60 |
| 2026-09-19 16:12:24 | 1.55 | 3.80 | 4.80 |
| 2026-09-19 16:12:25 | 1.53 | 3.99 | 5.11 |
| 2026-09-19 16:52:17 | 1.55 | 3.80 | 4.80 |
| 2026-09-19 16:52:18 | 1.53 | 3.99 | 5.11 |
| 2026-09-19 17:32:41 | 1.52 | 3.89 | 4.96 |
| 2026-09-19 17:32:42 | 1.55 | 4.04 | 5.18 |
| 2026-09-19 18:12:32 | 1.52 | 3.89 | 4.96 |
| 2026-09-19 18:12:33 | 1.55 | 4.04 | 5.18 |
| 2026-09-19 18:52:29 | 1.53 | 3.98 | 5.12 |
| 2026-09-19 18:52:30 | 1.56 | 3.93 | 4.93 |
| 2026-09-19 19:32:16 | 1.53 | 4.02 | 5.13 |
| 2026-09-19 20:12:16 | 1.53 | 4.02 | 5.13 |
| 2026-09-19 20:52:14 | 1.53 | 3.80 | 5.00 |
| 2026-09-19 20:52:15 | 1.53 | 4.14 | 5.20 |
| 2026-09-19 21:32:15 | 1.53 | 4.02 | 5.13 |
| 2026-09-19 22:12:13 | 1.53 | 4.02 | 5.13 |
| 2026-09-19 22:52:14 | 1.53 | 3.80 | 5.00 |
| 2026-09-19 22:52:15 | 1.53 | 4.14 | 5.20 |
| 2026-09-19 23:32:14 | 1.52 | 3.88 | 5.03 |
| 2026-09-19 23:32:15 | 1.56 | 4.32 | 5.34 |
상대전적 H2H
| 날짜 | 홈 | 결과 | 원정 |
|---|
| 2026.09.20 | Lexington | 6 : 0 | Orange County SC |
| 2026.04.19 | Orange County SC | 0 : 0 | Lexington |
| 2025.09.13 | Lexington | 1 : 1 | Orange County SC |
| 2025.03.16 | Orange County SC | 2 : 2 | Lexington |