경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

USL Championship USA · Group Stage

Monterey BayHOME · 3.16

1 : 12026.09.06 · 종료

Phoenix RisingAWAY · 1.97

HOME · 현재 순위 12위 승점 17 · 23경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 10위 승점 29 · 22경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME46.8%

DRAW24.8%

AWAY28.4%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH85 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 96/100

AI PICK HOME 39.0% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +18.0%

VALUE EDGE+18.0%

FAIR ODDS2.14

GRADES

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION STRONG 90/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM HOME +16.7%p

HOME_AWAY HOME +16.7%p

LEAGUE_LEVEL EVEN +0.0%p

STANDING_PPG AWAY -15.5%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE EVEN +2.0%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE

Monterey Bay분석 지표Phoenix Rising

8.3% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 41.7%

1.25 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.50

2.25 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.58

0.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 0.0%

7.0일 휴식일비교용 지표 7.0일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

85/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지19.2 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본10.0 / 10

모델 일치도7.4 / 15

예측 분리도7.9 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보4.0 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME28.8%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승28.9%표본 114경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 2경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승32.4%현재 이동 +16.0%

OPEN → NOW2.72 → 3.16배당 업데이트 2026-09-06 23:42:13

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

46.8%

DRAW

24.8%

AWAY

28.4%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Monterey Bay

D · 1-1L · 3-1D · 1-1L · 2-5L · 1-0

Phoenix Rising

W · 2-1D · 2-2W · 3-1L · 1-0D · 1-1

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME68 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN2.69

→

CURRENT3.16

+17.20%ODDS DRIFTED

DRAW68 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.48

→

CURRENT3.72

+6.96%ODDS DRIFTED

AWAY68 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN2.28

→

CURRENT2.00

-12.13%ODDS SHORTENED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-05 00:15:06	2.69	3.48	2.28
2026-09-05 12:15:07	2.80	3.55	2.16
2026-09-06 00:02:15	3.08	3.67	2.01
2026-09-06 00:32:14	3.00	3.50	2.00
2026-09-06 00:32:15	3.09	3.70	2.01
2026-09-06 01:02:05	3.08	3.67	2.01
2026-09-06 01:32:08	3.08	3.67	2.01
2026-09-06 01:32:11	3.12	3.70	1.99
2026-09-06 02:02:05	3.12	3.70	1.99
2026-09-06 02:32:10	3.12	3.70	1.99
2026-09-06 03:02:15	3.12	3.70	1.99
2026-09-06 03:32:11	3.05	3.62	1.97
2026-09-06 03:32:12	3.20	3.78	2.00
2026-09-06 04:02:09	3.12	3.70	1.99
2026-09-06 04:32:12	3.12	3.70	1.99
2026-09-06 05:02:10	3.12	3.70	1.99
2026-09-06 05:32:13	3.12	3.70	1.99
2026-09-06 06:02:09	3.13	3.71	1.98
2026-09-06 06:02:10	3.10	3.65	1.99
2026-09-06 06:32:16	3.12	3.70	1.99
2026-09-06 07:02:11	3.12	3.70	1.99
2026-09-06 07:32:16	3.15	3.60	1.93
2026-09-06 07:32:17	3.16	3.72	2.00
2026-09-06 08:02:11	3.10	3.60	1.95
2026-09-06 08:02:12	3.17	3.69	1.98
2026-09-06 08:32:17	3.16	3.68	1.97
2026-09-06 08:32:18	3.12	3.65	1.98
2026-09-06 09:02:09	3.16	3.68	1.98
2026-09-06 09:32:15	3.15	3.60	1.93
2026-09-06 09:32:16	3.16	3.72	2.00
2026-09-06 10:02:05	3.16	3.68	1.98
2026-09-06 10:32:11	3.15	3.60	1.93
2026-09-06 10:32:12	3.16	3.72	2.00
2026-09-06 11:02:10	3.15	3.68	1.98
2026-09-06 11:32:14	3.10	3.60	1.95
2026-09-06 11:32:15	3.16	3.70	1.98
2026-09-06 12:02:09	3.15	3.68	1.98
2026-09-06 12:32:20	3.15	3.68	1.98
2026-09-06 13:02:10	3.12	3.62	1.94
2026-09-06 13:02:11	3.19	3.74	2.01
2026-09-06 13:32:16	3.15	3.68	1.98
2026-09-06 14:02:17	3.12	3.62	1.94
2026-09-06 14:02:18	3.19	3.74	2.01
2026-09-06 14:32:14	3.15	3.68	1.98
2026-09-06 15:02:14	3.15	3.61	1.95
2026-09-06 15:02:15	3.16	3.82	2.02
2026-09-06 15:32:07	3.15	3.68	1.98
2026-09-06 16:02:15	3.15	3.68	1.98
2026-09-06 16:32:18	3.16	3.69	1.97
2026-09-06 16:32:19	3.12	3.65	1.98
2026-09-06 17:02:12	3.10	3.60	1.95
2026-09-06 17:02:13	3.16	3.70	1.98
2026-09-06 17:32:21	3.15	3.68	1.98
2026-09-06 18:02:12	3.15	3.68	1.98
2026-09-06 18:32:27	3.16	3.69	1.97
2026-09-06 18:32:28	3.12	3.65	1.98
2026-09-06 19:12:14	3.15	3.68	1.98
2026-09-06 19:52:26	3.15	3.68	1.98
2026-09-06 20:32:12	3.12	3.62	1.94
2026-09-06 20:32:13	3.19	3.74	2.01
2026-09-06 21:12:14	3.15	3.68	1.98
2026-09-06 21:42:13	3.15	3.68	1.98
2026-09-06 22:12:15	3.15	3.68	1.98
2026-09-06 22:42:13	3.15	3.68	1.98
2026-09-06 23:12:13	3.15	3.61	1.95
2026-09-06 23:12:14	3.16	3.82	2.02
2026-09-06 23:42:12	3.15	3.60	1.93
2026-09-06 23:42:13	3.16	3.72	2.00

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.06	Monterey Bay	1 : 1	Phoenix Rising
2026.07.19	Phoenix Rising	3 : 2	Monterey Bay
2025.05.18	Phoenix Rising	2 : 0	Monterey Bay
2025.03.30	Monterey Bay	3 : 1	Phoenix Rising