Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Greek Cup
Greece · Greek Cup - Quarter-finals
ArisHOME · -
64 : 612015.10.08 · 종료
AEK AthensAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME72.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY27.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM77 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 72.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+72.1%
VALUE EDGE+72.1%
FAIR ODDS1.39
GRADES
ArisAnalysis MetricsAEK Athens
83.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
+12.42
Point MarginHigher is better
-4.33
160.25
Pace ProxyComparison metric
160.33
100.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
16.7%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
77/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.9 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Aris
L · 63-56L · 80-91W · 59-67W · 73-70L · 76-74
AEK Athens
W · 76-68L · 78-69L · 78-74L · 111-70W · 81-74
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.10 | Aris | 88 : 58 | AEK Athens |
| 2017.01.15 | Aris | 77 : 76 | AEK Athens |
| 2015.10.08 | Aris | 64 : 61 | AEK Athens |
| 2011.04.13 | Aris | 78 : 74 | AEK Athens |
| 2011.01.08 | AEK Athens | 65 : 74 | Aris |
| 2010.03.21 | Aris | 79 : 76 | AEK Athens |
| 2009.12.20 | AEK Athens | 77 : 76 | Aris |
| 2009.03.08 | AEK Athens | 65 : 71 | Aris |
| 2008.11.30 | Aris | 77 : 61 | AEK Athens |