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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Pro B Germany · 13
HerfordHOME · -
124 : 982023.12.24 · 종료
ItzehoeAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME48.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY52.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK AWAY 52.4% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +52.0%
VALUE EDGE+52.0%
FAIR ODDS1.92
GRADEA
HerfordAnalysis MetricsItzehoe
33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
-4.58 Point MarginHigher is better -4.08
166.92 Pace ProxyComparison metric 151.92
42.9% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 57.1%
7.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.6 / 15
Prediction separation1.7 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
48.0%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
52.0%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Herford
L · 85-75L · 85-99L · 95-77L · 82-101L · 90-80
Itzehoe
L · 72-80L · 81-92W · 74-67W · 107-85L · 77-71

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2024.01.07Itzehoe116 : 85Herford
2023.12.24Herford124 : 98Itzehoe