Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Pro A
Germany · Pro A - Quarter-finals
DresdenHOME · -
72 : 892023.05.07 · 종료
GiessenAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME48.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY51.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
93/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+51.5%
VALUE EDGE+51.5%
FAIR ODDS1.94
GRADEB
DresdenAnalysis MetricsGiessen
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
-4.00
Point MarginHigher is better
-4.17
168.50
Pace ProxyComparison metric
159.50
60.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
20.0%
1.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
1.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
68/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement10.5 / 15
Prediction separation1.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Dresden
L · 96-94L · 106-81L · 98-69W · 88-80L · 77-86
Giessen
W · 96-94W · 86-77L · 97-82W · 89-88W · 89-90
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.05.11 | Giessen | 89 : 76 | Dresden |
| 2023.05.07 | Dresden | 72 : 89 | Giessen |
| 2023.05.06 | Giessen | 96 : 94 | Dresden |
| 2023.02.05 | Giessen | 90 : 76 | Dresden |
| 2022.10.23 | Dresden | 90 : 87 | Giessen |