Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

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Pro A Germany · Pro A - Quarter-finals

GiessenHOME · -

96 : 942023.05.06 · 종료

DresdenAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME59.6%

DRAW0.0%

AWAY40.4%

MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100

농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK HOME 53.0% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +59.6%

VALUE EDGE+59.6%

FAIR ODDS1.68

GRADEA

GiessenAnalysis MetricsDresden

33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%

-4.17 Point MarginHigher is better -5.25

159.50 Pace ProxyComparison metric 166.08

42.9% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%

6.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.0일

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM

Data coverage18.9 / 20

Market / Odds4.5 / 15

Recent form10.0 / 10

Historical sample10.0 / 10

Model agreement14.7 / 15

Prediction separation8.2 / 15

Data freshness0.0 / 10

Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5

Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin

Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches

League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches

Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -

OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.

HOME

59.6%

DRAW

0.0%

AWAY

40.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.

Giessen

W · 86-77L · 97-82W · 89-88W · 89-90W · 94-91

Dresden

L · 106-81L · 98-69W · 88-80L · 77-86L · 77-81

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY

HOMEDRAWAWAY

No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

Date	Home	Results	Away
2023.05.11	Giessen	89 : 76	Dresden
2023.05.07	Dresden	72 : 89	Giessen
2023.05.06	Giessen	96 : 94	Dresden
2023.02.05	Giessen	90 : 76	Dresden
2022.10.23	Dresden	90 : 87	Giessen