Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Pro A
Germany · 32
DresdenHOME · -
88 : 802023.04.16 · 종료
PaderbornAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME60.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY39.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM66 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
HOME 57.7%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+60.5%
VALUE EDGE+60.5%
FAIR ODDS1.65
GRADEB
DresdenAnalysis MetricsPaderborn
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-6.08
Point MarginHigher is better
+1.17
167.92
Pace ProxyComparison metric
161.83
40.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
20.0%
6.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
3.8일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
66/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.8 / 15
Prediction separation9.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Dresden
L · 77-86L · 77-81W · 85-74W · 85-89W · 83-73
Paderborn
W · 20-0W · 78-96L · 81-85L · 84-70L · 83-107
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.04.16 | Dresden | 88 : 80 | Paderborn |
| 2022.12.04 | Paderborn | 63 : 68 | Dresden |
| 2017.02.12 | Paderborn | 82 : 72 | Dresden |