Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Pro A
Germany · 30
DresdenHOME · -
77 : 862023.04.10 · 종료
VechtaAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME44.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY55.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
AWAY 53.3%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+55.7%
VALUE EDGE+55.7%
FAIR ODDS1.79
GRADEA
DresdenAnalysis MetricsVechta
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-4.67
Point MarginHigher is better
-3.67
168.33
Pace ProxyComparison metric
170.17
60.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
42.9%
7.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.8 / 15
Prediction separation4.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Dresden
L · 77-81W · 85-74W · 85-89W · 83-73W · 84-93
Vechta
W · 91-71W · 69-80W · 85-64L · 92-81W · 73-64
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.04.10 | Dresden | 77 : 86 | Vechta |
| 2022.11.05 | Vechta | 107 : 78 | Dresden |