Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Pro A
Germany · 26
Phoenix HagenHOME · -
85 : 892023.03.12 · 종료
DresdenAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME57.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY42.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
HOME 53.3%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+57.9%
VALUE EDGE+57.9%
FAIR ODDS1.73
GRADEA
Phoenix HagenAnalysis MetricsDresden
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
-7.50
Point MarginHigher is better
-5.75
176.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
167.42
16.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
16.7%
6.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.9 / 15
Prediction separation6.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Phoenix Hagen
L · 108-87W · 87-68L · 100-92W · 76-79W · 84-81
Dresden
W · 83-73W · 84-93L · 83-75W · 81-70L · 90-76
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.03.12 | Phoenix Hagen | 85 : 89 | Dresden |
| 2023.01.08 | Dresden | 83 : 89 | Phoenix Hagen |