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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Pro A Germany · 24
NurnbergerHOME · -
76 : 842023.03.04 · 종료
JenaAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME65.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY34.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK HOME 67.8% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +65.8%
VALUE EDGE+65.8%
FAIR ODDS1.52
GRADEA
NurnbergerAnalysis MetricsJena
50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%
-1.92 Point MarginHigher is better -10.17
160.42 Pace ProxyComparison metric 165.00
40.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 25.0%
13.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 13.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

73/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.7 / 15
Prediction separation13.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
65.8%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
34.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Nurnberger
L · 89-80L · 76-79L · 81-77W · 79-94W · 77-70
Jena
L · 59-79L · 81-70L · 80-68W · 90-79L · 78-86

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.03.04Nurnberger76 : 84Jena
2022.10.29Jena83 : 80Nurnberger