Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Pro A
Germany · 19
DresdenHOME · -
79 : 952023.01.30 · 종료
TrierAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME53.9%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY46.1%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
91/100
AI PICK
HOME 52.5%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+53.9%
VALUE EDGE+53.9%
FAIR ODDS1.85
GRADEA
DresdenAnalysis MetricsTrier
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
91.7%
-4.75
Point MarginHigher is better
+19.83
168.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
170.33
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
83.3%
7.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.5 / 15
Prediction separation3.4 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Dresden
L · 95-92W · 74-55L · 83-89W · 80-91W · 86-96
Trier
L · 79-81L · 83-93L · 109-97W · 102-82W · 71-89
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.01.30 | Dresden | 79 : 95 | Trier |
| 2022.10.31 | Trier | 89 : 95 | Dresden |
| 2017.01.08 | Trier | 78 : 64 | Dresden |
| 2016.10.16 | Dresden | 91 : 83 | Trier |