Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Pro A
Germany · 16
DresdenHOME · -
83 : 892023.01.08 · 종료
Phoenix HagenAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME60.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY39.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM66 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
HOME 57.7%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+60.2%
VALUE EDGE+60.2%
FAIR ODDS1.66
GRADEB
DresdenAnalysis MetricsPhoenix Hagen
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
-4.75
Point MarginHigher is better
-7.50
168.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
176.83
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
3.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
66/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.3 / 15
Prediction separation8.8 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Dresden
W · 80-91W · 86-96L · 76-94W · 95-59W · 63-68
Phoenix Hagen
L · 88-90L · 103-87W · 84-64L · 81-70W · 98-92
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.03.12 | Phoenix Hagen | 85 : 89 | Dresden |
| 2023.01.08 | Dresden | 83 : 89 | Phoenix Hagen |