Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Pro A
Germany · 12
DresdenHOME · -
76 : 942022.12.18 · 종료
TubingenAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME30.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY69.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM69 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
AWAY 67.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+69.4%
VALUE EDGE+69.4%
FAIR ODDS1.44
GRADEA
DresdenAnalysis MetricsTubingen
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-4.75
Point MarginHigher is better
-1.25
168.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
158.25
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
20.0%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
6.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
69/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.6 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Dresden
W · 95-59W · 63-68W · 72-69L · 90-83L · 74-76
Tubingen
W · 95-69L · 95-92W · 73-70W · 89-61W · 81-88
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2023.04.20 | Tubingen | 98 : 69 | Dresden |
| 2022.12.18 | Dresden | 76 : 94 | Tubingen |