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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Pro A Germany · 11
DresdenHOME · -
95 : 592022.12.11 · 종료
LeverkusenAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME71.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY28.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 89/100
AI PICK HOME 73.1% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +71.3%
VALUE EDGE+71.3%
FAIR ODDS1.40
GRADEB
DresdenAnalysis MetricsLeverkusen
41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 100.0%
-4.75 Point MarginHigher is better +16.83
168.75 Pace ProxyComparison metric 144.00
50.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 100.0%
6.9일 Rest daysComparison metric 6.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

68/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement3.4 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
71.3%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
28.7%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Dresden
W · 63-68W · 72-69L · 90-83L · 74-76L · 107-78
Leverkusen
L · 85-91L · 79-52L · 84-67W · 95-88L · 91-84

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2022.12.11Dresden95 : 59Leverkusen
2017.12.02Dresden81 : 77Leverkusen
2017.10.22Leverkusen72 : 80Dresden