Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Pro A
Germany · 9
DresdenHOME · -
72 : 692022.11.28 · 종료
NurnbergerAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME57.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY42.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM68 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
89/100
AI PICK
HOME 54.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+57.4%
VALUE EDGE+57.4%
FAIR ODDS1.74
GRADEB
DresdenAnalysis MetricsNurnberger
41.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
50.0%
-4.75
Point MarginHigher is better
-1.92
168.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
160.42
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
57.1%
7.9일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
68/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage18.1 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.1 / 15
Prediction separation6.4 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Dresden
L · 90-83L · 74-76L · 107-78W · 89-95W · 90-87
Nurnberger
W · 59-54W · 86-87W · 91-84L · 83-80L · 85-67
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022.11.28 | Dresden | 72 : 69 | Nurnberger |
| 2017.01.18 | Dresden | 67 : 97 | Nurnberger |
| 2016.11.05 | Nurnberger | 93 : 79 | Dresden |