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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

Pro A Germany · 6
VechtaHOME · -
107 : 782022.11.05 · 종료
DresdenAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME52.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY47.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 87/100
AI PICK HOME 52.4% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +52.6%
VALUE EDGE+52.6%
FAIR ODDS1.90
GRADEA
VechtaAnalysis MetricsDresden
41.7% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
-3.67 Point MarginHigher is better -4.75
170.17 Pace ProxyComparison metric 168.75
40.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%
6.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 5.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

72/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.3 / 15
Prediction separation2.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
52.6%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
47.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Vechta
W · 85-91W · 86-69W · 74-91W · 72-67W · 61-88
Dresden
W · 89-95W · 90-87W · 82-84L · 85-94W · 74-75

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2023.04.10Dresden77 : 86Vechta
2022.11.05Vechta107 : 78Dresden