Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
DBBL Women
Germany · DBBL Women - Quarter-finals
Freiburg WHOME · -
68 : 822024.03.29 · 종료
Keltern WAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME24.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY75.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 77.3%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+75.6%
VALUE EDGE+75.6%
FAIR ODDS1.32
GRADES
Freiburg WAnalysis MetricsKeltern W
25.0%
Recent win rateHigher is better
75.0%
-11.17
Point MarginHigher is better
+11.08
141.33
Pace ProxyComparison metric
132.58
40.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
80.0%
4.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
4.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.3 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Freiburg W
L · 79-60L · 99-76W · 81-79L · 70-65L · 85-79
Keltern W
W · 79-60W · 99-76L · 70-59W · 79-58W · 79-68
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.01.26 | Freiburg W | 57 : 84 | Keltern W |
| 2024.11.25 | Keltern W | 73 : 53 | Freiburg W |
| 2024.03.29 | Freiburg W | 68 : 82 | Keltern W |
| 2024.03.25 | Keltern W | 79 : 60 | Freiburg W |
| 2024.03.23 | Keltern W | 99 : 76 | Freiburg W |
| 2024.01.29 | Freiburg W | 61 : 62 | Keltern W |
| 2023.10.08 | Keltern W | 96 : 56 | Freiburg W |
| 2023.01.08 | Freiburg W | 55 : 87 | Keltern W |
| 2022.10.16 | Keltern W | 100 : 64 | Freiburg W |