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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

DBBL Women Germany · 11
Freiburg WHOME · -
74 : 822022.12.23 · 종료
Herner WAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME61.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY38.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM76 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 97/100
AI PICK HOME 57.7% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +61.8%
VALUE EDGE+61.8%
FAIR ODDS1.62
GRADES
Freiburg WAnalysis MetricsHerner W
25.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%
-11.17 Point MarginHigher is better -8.17
141.33 Pace ProxyComparison metric 136.00
40.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 16.7%
5.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 5.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

76/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.5 / 15
Prediction separation10.1 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
61.8%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
38.2%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Freiburg W
W · 92-69W · 74-96L · 62-76W · 80-69L · 82-64
Herner W
W · 65-57L · 77-66L · 52-70W · 45-74L · 62-55

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2026.10.04Freiburg W82 : 62Herner W
2025.02.02Herner W67 : 59Freiburg W
2024.10.20Freiburg W53 : 63Herner W
2024.01.07Freiburg W93 : 66Herner W
2023.12.03Herner W67 : 72Freiburg W
2023.02.20Herner W84 : 53Freiburg W
2022.12.23Freiburg W74 : 82Herner W