Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
BBL
Germany · BBL - Quarter-finals
UlmHOME · -
79 : 972022.05.20 · 종료
LudwigsburgAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME37.3%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY62.7%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
AWAY 58.6%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+62.7%
VALUE EDGE+62.7%
FAIR ODDS1.60
GRADEA
UlmAnalysis MetricsLudwigsburg
33.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
-1.50
Point MarginHigher is better
+0.50
176.83
Pace ProxyComparison metric
162.50
60.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
2.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
2.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
71/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.2 / 15
Prediction separation10.9 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Ulm
W · 88-71L · 65-77L · 74-85L · 83-77W · 73-80
Ludwigsburg
W · 98-83L · 86-102W · 87-93L · 92-86W · 77-75
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.09.20 | Ulm | 86 : 77 | Ludwigsburg |
| 2022.05.20 | Ulm | 79 : 97 | Ludwigsburg |
| 2022.04.10 | Ludwigsburg | 74 : 61 | Ulm |
| 2022.01.03 | Ulm | 78 : 66 | Ludwigsburg |
| 2021.03.21 | Ulm | 77 : 83 | Ludwigsburg |
| 2021.01.10 | Ludwigsburg | 89 : 87 | Ulm |
| 2020.06.24 | Ulm | 85 : 94 | Ludwigsburg |
| 2020.06.21 | Ludwigsburg | 71 : 71 | Ulm |
| 2020.03.08 | Ulm | 76 : 94 | Ludwigsburg |
| 2019.10.20 | Ludwigsburg | 106 : 75 | Ulm |