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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

BBL Germany · 25
UlmHOME · -
65 : 772022.05.07 · 종료
BayernAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME46.0%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY54.0%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM71 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100
AI PICK AWAY 52.5% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +54.0%
VALUE EDGE+54.0%
FAIR ODDS1.85
GRADEA
UlmAnalysis MetricsBayern
33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
-1.50 Point MarginHigher is better +3.42
176.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 175.25
60.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 50.0%
5.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 4.9일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

71/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.7 / 15
Prediction separation3.4 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
46.0%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
54.0%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Ulm
L · 74-85L · 83-77W · 73-80W · 73-79L · 78-73
Bayern
W · 92-57L · 87-83W · 58-77W · 86-78W · 85-95

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2022.05.07Ulm65 : 77Bayern
2021.05.08Bayern64 : 98Ulm
2021.02.10Ulm77 : 81Bayern
2020.06.07Bayern85 : 95Ulm
2019.11.27Bayern83 : 69Ulm