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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

BBL Germany · 33
UlmHOME · -
74 : 852022.04.30 · 종료
BonnAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME33.5%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY66.5%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM72 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100
AI PICK AWAY 67.4% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +66.5%
VALUE EDGE+66.5%
FAIR ODDS1.50
GRADEA
UlmAnalysis MetricsBonn
33.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 66.7%
-1.50 Point MarginHigher is better +5.00
176.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 165.17
60.0% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%
3.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 5.2일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

72/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.4 / 15
Prediction separation14.1 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
33.5%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
66.5%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Ulm
L · 83-77W · 73-80W · 73-79L · 78-73W · 90-74
Bonn
W · 78-76W · 71-82W · 78-72W · 96-112W · 97-88

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2022.04.30Ulm74 : 85Bonn
2021.09.30Bonn76 : 73Ulm
2021.05.09Bonn81 : 94Ulm
2021.01.03Ulm73 : 72Bonn
2020.01.06Ulm85 : 73Bonn