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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

BBL Germany · 32
BayreuthHOME · -
73 : 802022.04.23 · 종료
UlmAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME41.4%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY58.6%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 95/100
AI PICK AWAY 54.6% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +58.6%
VALUE EDGE+58.6%
FAIR ODDS1.71
GRADEA
BayreuthAnalysis MetricsUlm
8.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 33.3%
-9.00 Point MarginHigher is better -1.50
180.83 Pace ProxyComparison metric 176.83
16.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 14.3%
6.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 3.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

75/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage19.3 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.8 / 15
Prediction separation7.3 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
41.4%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
58.6%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Bayreuth
L · 90-85L · 69-83L · 77-83L · 87-53L · 71-84
Ulm
W · 73-79L · 78-73W · 90-74L · 74-61L · 103-71

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2022.04.23Bayreuth73 : 80Ulm
2022.01.16Ulm92 : 81Bayreuth
2021.04.14Bayreuth93 : 99Ulm
2020.11.15Ulm104 : 76Bayreuth
2020.03.01Bayreuth69 : 85Ulm
2020.01.18Ulm103 : 93Bayreuth