Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
BBL
Germany · 24
Alba BerlinHOME · -
78 : 732022.04.16 · 종료
UlmAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME79.8%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY20.2%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM75 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
100/100
AI PICK
HOME 77.8%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+79.8%
VALUE EDGE+79.8%
FAIR ODDS1.25
GRADEA
Alba BerlinAnalysis MetricsUlm
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
33.3%
+2.50
Point MarginHigher is better
-1.50
174.67
Pace ProxyComparison metric
176.83
83.3%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
14.3%
3.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
3.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
75/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage20.0 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.4 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Alba Berlin
W · 92-86W · 66-95W · 87-53L · 81-64W · 95-80
Ulm
W · 90-74L · 74-61L · 103-71W · 83-82L · 72-86
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.10.26 | Alba Berlin | 98 : 82 | Ulm |
| 2025.10.19 | Alba Berlin | 90 : 68 | Ulm |
| 2022.04.16 | Alba Berlin | 78 : 73 | Ulm |
| 2021.06.06 | Ulm | 75 : 77 | Alba Berlin |
| 2021.06.04 | Ulm | 72 : 80 | Alba Berlin |
| 2021.06.02 | Alba Berlin | 92 : 78 | Ulm |
| 2021.05.30 | Alba Berlin | 71 : 73 | Ulm |
| 2021.03.08 | Ulm | 76 : 84 | Alba Berlin |
| 2020.12.20 | Alba Berlin | 93 : 83 | Ulm |
| 2019.11.04 | Alba Berlin | 109 : 89 | Ulm |