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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

BBL Germany · 30
BayreuthHOME · -
69 : 832022.04.14 · 종료
ChemnitzAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME42.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY57.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 91/100
AI PICK AWAY 54.6% CAL
VALUE PICK AWAY +57.4%
VALUE EDGE+57.4%
FAIR ODDS1.74
GRADEA
BayreuthAnalysis MetricsChemnitz
8.3% Recent win rateHigher is better 50.0%
-9.17 Point MarginHigher is better +3.67
179.00 Pace ProxyComparison metric 176.17
14.3% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 33.3%
4.1일 Rest daysComparison metric 5.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

74/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.5 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement12.8 / 15
Prediction separation6.4 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
42.6%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
57.4%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Bayreuth
L · 77-83L · 87-53L · 71-84L · 71-74L · 86-65
Chemnitz
W · 79-89L · 81-71W · 81-64L · 85-89L · 92-87

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2022.04.14Bayreuth69 : 83Chemnitz
2021.10.10Chemnitz72 : 86Bayreuth
2021.03.21Bayreuth85 : 72Chemnitz
2021.01.31Chemnitz61 : 83Bayreuth