Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Superleague
Georgia · 14
Mgzavrebi TbilisiHOME · -
84 : 672015.04.28 · 종료
RustaviAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME27.2%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY72.8%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
AWAY 73.0%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+72.8%
VALUE EDGE+72.8%
FAIR ODDS1.37
GRADEA
Mgzavrebi TbilisiAnalysis MetricsRustavi
8.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
58.3%
-10.25
Point MarginHigher is better
+5.42
149.92
Pace ProxyComparison metric
171.58
0.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
50.0%
14.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
14.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement14.0 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Mgzavrebi Tbilisi
L · 78-71L · 90-73L · 79-84W · 59-61L · 55-79
Rustavi
W · 82-69W · 79-83L · 81-91L · 106-99L · 94-74
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2015.04.28 | Mgzavrebi Tbilisi | 84 : 67 | Rustavi |
| 2014.12.27 | Rustavi | 78 : 74 | Mgzavrebi Tbilisi |