Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
Superleague
Georgia · 7
RustaviHOME · -
78 : 742014.12.27 · 종료
Mgzavrebi TbilisiAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME64.6%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY35.4%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM73 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
87/100
AI PICK
HOME 57.7%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+64.6%
VALUE EDGE+64.6%
FAIR ODDS1.55
GRADEA
RustaviAnalysis MetricsMgzavrebi Tbilisi
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
16.7%
+5.42
Point MarginHigher is better
-8.50
171.58
Pace ProxyComparison metric
149.83
66.7%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
16.7%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.1일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
73/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage17.7 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.4 / 15
Prediction separation12.5 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.8 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Rustavi
L · 85-80W · 87-76L · 80-74W · 67-85W · 95-76
Mgzavrebi Tbilisi
L · 71-83L · 68-82W · 62-72L · 57-72L · 89-61
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2015.04.28 | Mgzavrebi Tbilisi | 84 : 67 | Rustavi |
| 2014.12.27 | Rustavi | 78 : 74 | Mgzavrebi Tbilisi |