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Match Analysis

Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality

LNB France · 23
Elan BearnaisHOME · -
83 : 712016.03.13 · 종료
CholetAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME71.7%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY28.3%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM66 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6

Sport-Specific Key Analysis

Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days

DATA QUALITY 93/100
AI PICK HOME 72.6% CAL
VALUE PICK HOME +71.7%
VALUE EDGE+71.7%
FAIR ODDS1.39
GRADEB
Elan BearnaisAnalysis MetricsCholet
50.0% Recent win rateHigher is better 41.7%
-4.25 Point MarginHigher is better -4.08
153.42 Pace ProxyComparison metric 167.25
66.7% Home / Away win rateHigher is better 40.0%
8.0일 Rest daysComparison metric 7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2

Confidence Breakdown

This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.

66/100 MEDIUM
Data coverage18.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement6.7 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -

Probability Breakdown

Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
HOME
71.7%
DRAW
0.0%
AWAY
28.3%

Recent Form

Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Elan Bearnais
W · 64-68W · 86-78W · 90-77W · 77-78W · 76-62
Cholet
W · 86-75L · 85-93L · 85-79W · 86-82W · 79-73

Odds Movement History

Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.

Head-to-Head (H2H)

DateHomeResultsAway
2019.11.17Elan Bearnais82 : 83Cholet
2017.03.26Cholet69 : 76Elan Bearnais
2016.09.25Elan Bearnais81 : 79Cholet
2016.03.13Elan Bearnais83 : 71Cholet
2015.10.11Cholet86 : 90Elan Bearnais