Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
LNB
France · 17

Le MansHOME · -
69 : 792016.01.17 · 종료
CholetAWAY · -

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME69.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY30.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM74 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
97/100
AI PICK
HOME 68.2%
CAL
VALUE PICK
HOME
+69.1%
VALUE EDGE+69.1%
FAIR ODDS1.45
GRADEA
Le MansAnalysis MetricsCholet
66.7%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
+6.58
Point MarginHigher is better
-4.08
170.75
Pace ProxyComparison metric
167.25
50.0%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
40.0%
7.0일
Rest daysComparison metric
7.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
74/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.6 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement13.8 / 15
Prediction separation15.0 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Le Mans
W · 69-77W · 62-57W · 71-82W · 82-64W · 79-70
Cholet
W · 80-90L · 58-82W · 65-67W · 94-79L · 75-71
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025.02.14 | Cholet | 91 : 93 | Le Mans |
| 2023.02.18 | Cholet | 77 : 84 | Le Mans |
| 2019.12.15 | Le Mans | 81 : 75 | Cholet |
| 2017.04.03 | Cholet | 78 : 58 | Le Mans |
| 2016.11.06 | Le Mans | 71 : 65 | Cholet |
| 2016.03.30 | Cholet | 69 : 70 | Le Mans |
| 2016.01.17 | Le Mans | 69 : 79 | Cholet |