Match Analysis
Sport-specific models · Market probabilities · Performance · Odds value · Data quality
LNB
France · 2
Lyon-VilleurbanneHOME · -
57 : 582015.10.07 · 종료
CholetAWAY · -
RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL
HOME45.1%
DRAW0.0%
AWAY54.9%
MODEL CONFIDENCE MEDIUM70 / 100
농구 MODEL V5.6
Sport-Specific Key Analysis
Point margin · Pace · Recent win rate · Home court · Rest days
DATA QUALITY
99/100
AI PICK
AWAY 52.4%
CAL
VALUE PICK
AWAY
+54.9%
VALUE EDGE+54.9%
FAIR ODDS1.82
GRADEA
Lyon-VilleurbanneAnalysis MetricsCholet
58.3%
Recent win rateHigher is better
41.7%
+0.75
Point MarginHigher is better
-1.58
182.42
Pace ProxyComparison metric
163.08
71.4%
Home / Away win rateHigher is better
40.0%
3.1일
Rest daysComparison metric
3.0일
CONFIDENCE ENGINE v7.2
Confidence Breakdown
This measures the reliability of the prediction, not the probability of winning.
70/100
MEDIUM
Data coverage19.9 / 20
Market / Odds4.5 / 15
Recent form10.0 / 10
Historical sample10.0 / 10
Model agreement8.8 / 15
Prediction separation4.2 / 15
Data freshness0.0 / 10
Sport-specific evidence4.9 / 5
Market Fair Probability · HOME0.0%Current 1X2 odds adjusted for bookmaker margin
Actual Home Wins at Similar Odds-Sample 0 matches
League Home Wins with Similar Patterns-Sample 0 matches
Home Wins by Odds Movement Pattern-Current movement -
OPEN → NOW- → -Odds updated -
Probability Breakdown
Compare market-implied odds with historical results separately.
Recent Form
Based on the five most recent completed matches stored in the database.
Lyon-Villeurbanne
W · 77-87
Cholet
W · 75-73L · 75-77W · 81-78W · 80-74L · 77-72
Odds Movement History
Percentage change from opening odds, using the same scale for HOME / DRAW / AWAY
HOMEDRAWAWAY
No odds snapshots yet. Data will appear once odds are collected.
Head-to-Head (H2H)
| Date | Home | Results | Away |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026.09.28 | Cholet | 85 : 97 | Lyon-Villeurbanne |
| 2026.02.20 | Lyon-Villeurbanne | 82 : 93 | Cholet |
| 2020.01.27 | Cholet | 80 : 91 | Lyon-Villeurbanne |
| 2019.10.07 | Lyon-Villeurbanne | 85 : 76 | Cholet |
| 2017.05.03 | Cholet | 57 : 72 | Lyon-Villeurbanne |
| 2016.12.18 | Lyon-Villeurbanne | 71 : 67 | Cholet |
| 2016.02.07 | Cholet | 86 : 82 | Lyon-Villeurbanne |
| 2015.10.07 | Lyon-Villeurbanne | 57 : 58 | Cholet |