경기 상세 분석

종목별 모델 · 시장 확률 · 실제 경기력 · 배당 Value · 데이터 품질

← 시간대별 경기

Primera Division Nicaragua · Apertura - 8

ManaguaHOME · 2.22

3 : 32026.09.04 · 종료

DiriangénAWAY · 2.88

HOME · 현재 순위 1위 승점 18 · 6경기

LEAGUE
STANDING

AWAY · 현재 순위 3위 승점 14 · 6경기

RAW MODEL PROBABILITY RAW · FINAL MODEL

HOME90.3%

DRAW5.8%

AWAY3.9%

MODEL CONFIDENCE HIGH81 / 100

축구 MODEL V5.6

종목별 핵심 분석

득실점 · 무승부 성향 · 홈/원정 · 최근 폼 · H2H

DATA QUALITY 93/100

AI PICK HOME 69.4% CAL

VALUE PICK HOME +49.3%

VALUE EDGE+49.3%

FAIR ODDS1.11

GRADES

FOOTBALL AI V8.7

AI 승률 근거

RECOMMENDATION STRONG 100/100 · LOW RISK

RECENT_FORM HOME +52.2%p

HOME_AWAY HOME +53.3%p

LEAGUE_LEVEL EVEN +0.0%p

STANDING_PPG HOME +11.6%p

ATTACK_DEFENCE HOME +38.5%p

INJURIES EVEN +0.0%p

• LINEUP DATA UNAVAILABLE• H2H DATA UNAVAILABLE

Managua분석 지표Diriangén

90.9% 최근 승률높을수록 유리 58.3%

3.18 평균 득점높을수록 유리 1.67

0.82 평균 실점낮을수록 유리 1.50

80.0% 홈/원정 승률높을수록 유리 66.7%

3.9일 휴식일비교용 지표 5.0일

API Prediction 수집됨 Lineups 수집됨 Injuries 수집됨 Statistics 수집됨

CONFIDENCE ENGINE v8.7.1

신뢰도 구성

승리확률이 아니라 현재 예측을 얼마나 신뢰할 수 있는지를 평가합니다.

81/100 HIGH

데이터 커버리지18.6 / 20

시장/배당15.0 / 15

최근 전력10.0 / 10

과거 표본7.0 / 10

모델 일치도7.3 / 15

예측 분리도15.0 / 15

데이터 신선도10.0 / 10

종목 핵심정보4.0 / 5

시장 Fair 확률 · HOME40.9%현재 1X2 배당 마진 제거

유사 배당 실제 홈승41.0%표본 317경기

리그 동일패턴 홈승0.0%표본 2경기

배당이동 패턴 홈승49.6%현재 이동 -10.8%

OPEN → NOW2.49 → 2.22배당 업데이트 2026-09-03 23:52:46

확률 구성

배당 시장과 실제 과거 결과를 분리해 비교합니다.

HOME

90.3%

DRAW

5.8%

AWAY

3.9%

최근 경기력

현재 DB에 저장된 종료 경기 기준 최근 5경기입니다.

Managua

W · 0-2W · 6-1W · 0-3W · 1-4W · 3-0

Diriangén

W · 2-0W · 0-2L · 2-0L · 4-0W · 2-1

배당 변화 히스토리

OPEN 대비 변동률 · HOME / DRAW / AWAY를 동일한 % 기준으로 비교

HOMEDRAWAWAY

HOME80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN2.23

→

CURRENT2.28

+2.61%ODDS DRIFTED

DRAW80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN3.29

→

CURRENT3.28

-0.30%ODDS SHORTENED

AWAY80 SNAPSHOTS

OPEN2.90

→

CURRENT2.79

-3.52%ODDS SHORTENED

원본 배당 히스토리 보기

수집시간	HOME	DRAW	AWAY
2026-09-03 11:52:23	2.23	3.29	2.90
2026-09-03 12:02:20	2.20	3.29	2.91
2026-09-03 12:02:21	2.32	3.28	2.83
2026-09-03 12:12:20	2.24	3.29	2.88
2026-09-03 12:12:21	2.12	3.30	3.05
2026-09-03 12:22:23	2.23	3.29	2.90
2026-09-03 12:32:20	2.23	3.29	2.90
2026-09-03 12:42:20	2.20	3.29	2.91
2026-09-03 12:42:21	2.32	3.28	2.83
2026-09-03 12:52:22	2.23	3.29	2.90
2026-09-03 13:02:22	2.23	3.29	2.90
2026-09-03 13:12:20	2.23	3.29	2.90
2026-09-03 13:22:22	2.23	3.29	2.90
2026-09-03 13:32:22	2.23	3.29	2.90
2026-09-03 13:42:21	2.23	3.29	2.90
2026-09-03 13:52:22	2.23	3.29	2.90
2026-09-03 14:02:21	2.25	3.25	2.86
2026-09-03 14:12:19	2.25	3.25	2.86
2026-09-03 14:22:23	2.25	3.25	2.86
2026-09-03 14:32:20	2.25	3.25	2.86
2026-09-03 14:42:21	2.25	3.25	2.86
2026-09-03 14:52:23	2.25	3.25	2.86
2026-09-03 15:02:21	2.25	3.25	2.86
2026-09-03 15:12:22	2.25	3.25	2.86
2026-09-03 15:22:24	2.25	3.25	2.86
2026-09-03 15:32:23	2.25	3.25	2.86
2026-09-03 15:42:20	2.15	3.10	3.00
2026-09-03 15:42:21	2.26	3.27	2.84
2026-09-03 15:52:23	2.25	3.25	2.86
2026-09-03 16:02:23	2.25	3.25	2.86
2026-09-03 16:12:20	2.25	3.25	2.86
2026-09-03 16:22:23	2.25	3.25	2.86
2026-09-03 16:32:22	2.25	3.25	2.86
2026-09-03 16:42:22	2.25	3.25	2.86
2026-09-03 16:52:24	2.25	3.25	2.86
2026-09-03 17:02:22	2.25	3.27	2.85
2026-09-03 17:12:23	2.25	3.27	2.85
2026-09-03 17:22:24	2.25	3.27	2.85
2026-09-03 17:32:31	2.15	3.10	3.00
2026-09-03 17:32:32	2.26	3.29	2.84
2026-09-03 17:42:27	2.25	3.27	2.85
2026-09-03 17:52:26	2.13	3.20	3.00
2026-09-03 17:52:27	2.27	3.29	2.82
2026-09-03 18:02:23	2.25	3.27	2.85
2026-09-03 18:12:23	2.25	3.27	2.85
2026-09-03 18:22:25	2.25	3.27	2.85
2026-09-03 18:32:25	2.25	3.27	2.85
2026-09-03 18:42:22	2.25	3.27	2.85
2026-09-03 18:52:27	2.25	3.27	2.85
2026-09-03 19:02:23	2.25	3.27	2.85
2026-09-03 19:12:24	2.25	3.27	2.85
2026-09-03 19:22:25	2.25	3.27	2.85
2026-09-03 19:32:24	2.25	3.27	2.85
2026-09-03 19:42:23	2.25	3.27	2.85
2026-09-03 19:52:25	2.25	3.27	2.85
2026-09-03 20:02:24	2.25	3.27	2.85
2026-09-03 20:12:22	2.25	3.27	2.85
2026-09-03 20:22:25	2.25	3.27	2.85
2026-09-03 20:32:24	2.25	3.27	2.85
2026-09-03 20:42:22	2.25	3.27	2.85
2026-09-03 20:52:28	2.25	3.27	2.85
2026-09-03 21:02:25	2.25	3.27	2.85
2026-09-03 21:12:25	2.25	3.27	2.85
2026-09-03 21:22:27	2.25	3.27	2.85
2026-09-03 21:32:25	2.25	3.27	2.85
2026-09-03 21:42:24	2.25	3.27	2.85
2026-09-03 21:52:26	2.25	3.27	2.85
2026-09-03 22:02:24	2.25	3.27	2.85
2026-09-03 22:12:27	2.25	3.27	2.85
2026-09-03 22:22:29	2.25	3.27	2.85
2026-09-03 22:42:11	2.25	3.27	2.85
2026-09-03 22:52:29	2.25	3.27	2.85
2026-09-03 23:02:37	2.28	3.28	2.79
2026-09-03 23:12:29	2.28	3.28	2.79
2026-09-03 23:22:34	2.26	3.28	2.80
2026-09-03 23:22:35	2.37	3.28	2.75
2026-09-03 23:32:29	2.28	3.28	2.79
2026-09-03 23:42:24	2.25	3.21	2.78
2026-09-03 23:42:25	2.30	3.31	2.80
2026-09-03 23:52:46	2.28	3.28	2.79

상대전적 H2H

날짜	홈	결과	원정
2026.09.04	Managua	3 : 3	Diriangén